The interwebs are all up in arms over Gallup's new 7-day tracking poll, the one that has Romney up by a full 6 points. Here's the thing, though, when you drill down into the numbers you find:
East: Obama +4
Midwest: Obama +4
South: Romney +22
West: Obama +6
So Romney might end up running up the numbers in the swath between North Carolina and Texas and end up with a higher popular vote, but aside from FL is that really any big loss? Even if you give Virginia and Florida to Romney, and WI/OH/PA to Obama, you're still ending up somewhere around 275 electoral votes for Obama and 263 for Romney, even if Romney wins the popular vote by ~2-4%. THat'd be 2 elections in 12 years where the winner of the popular vote WASN'T elected president, and once for each party. Think that there'd be any chance of electoral reform, or would it just be (sh!tty) business as usual?
East: Obama +4
Midwest: Obama +4
South: Romney +22
West: Obama +6
So Romney might end up running up the numbers in the swath between North Carolina and Texas and end up with a higher popular vote, but aside from FL is that really any big loss? Even if you give Virginia and Florida to Romney, and WI/OH/PA to Obama, you're still ending up somewhere around 275 electoral votes for Obama and 263 for Romney, even if Romney wins the popular vote by ~2-4%. THat'd be 2 elections in 12 years where the winner of the popular vote WASN'T elected president, and once for each party. Think that there'd be any chance of electoral reform, or would it just be (sh!tty) business as usual?