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Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Inside and out, the rusted towers of El Salvadors biggest grain silo show how the World Bank helped push developing countries into the global food crisis.
Inside, the silo, which once held thousands of tons of beans and cereals, is now empty. It was abandoned in 1991, after the bank told Salvadoran leaders to privatize grain storage, import staples such as corn and rice, and export crops including cocoa, coffee and palm oil.
Outside, where Rosa Maria Chavezs food stand is propped against a tower wall, price increases for basic grains this year whittled business down to 16 customers a day from 80.
Its a monument to the mess we are in now, says Chavez, 63.
About 40 million people joined the ranks of the undernourished this year, bringing the estimate of the worlds hungry to 963 million of its 6.8 billion people, the Rome-based United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization said yesterday. The growth didnt come just from natural causes. A manmade recipe for famine included corrupt governments and companies that profited on misery. Another ingredient: The World Banks free- market policies, which over almost three decades brought poor nations like El Salvador into global grain markets, where prices surged.
The World Bank made one basic blunder, which is to think that markets would solve problems of such severe circumstances, said Jeffrey Sachs, director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University and a special adviser to UN Secretary-General Ban Ki- moon. But history has shown you need to help people to get above the survival threshold before the markets can start functioning.
The Washington Consensus
Created in 1944, the Washington-based World Bank Group spent much of its first 35 years dispensing low-interest loans, grants and development advice to poor countries with an eye toward promoting self-reliance. In 1980, the banks executives began attaching conditions to loans that required structural adjustments in the recipients national economies. The mandates were designed to have poor countries cut import tariffs, reduce governments role in enterprises such as agriculture and promote cultivation of export crops to attract foreign currency.
The philosophy, which came to be known as The Washington Consensus, was based in part on assumptions that importing basic grains would be inexpensive and that farmers in developing nations could earn more producing exports. Food prices had fallen for years and few economists thought that would change, said Mark Cackler, manager of the banks Agriculture and Rural Development Department in Washington.
Exporter to Importer
In 2007 and the first half of 2008, an index of more than 60 food commodity prices compiled by the FAO rose 82 percent. While costs have since eased, they were 20 percent higher on Nov. 1 than at the end of 2006.
The increases hit hard in countries such as El Salvador, which had adopted the principles of the Washington Consensus in return for loans. El Salvadors Central Reserve Bank said the total amount of the lending was not available. The Agriculture Ministry did provide this measure of their effects: The country was a net exporter of rice 20 years ago; now it imports 75 to 80 percent of what it consumes.
The World Bank has given consistently wrong advice, said Jose Ramos-Horta, the president of East Timor in Asia and the 1996 Nobel Peace Prize winner.
It is their advice -- that buying externally is cheaper than producing -- that has resulted in this, he said.
More Than Underinvestment
Current and former World Bank officials say small countries hurt their own agriculture industries by suppressing prices, taxing farms, inflating exchange rates and favoring urban development. They reject the assertion that structural adjustment loans hurt developing nations self-sufficiency.
The premise that this crisis was caused by these policies is something that we dont agree with, said World Bank spokeswoman Geetanjali Chopra. This crisis was caused by much more than underinvestment in agriculture.
Still, in nations such as Honduras and Ghana, imports of basic grains climbed after governments eliminated agricultural subsidies, sold off grain stores or decreased tariffs to get World Bank loans in the 1990s, according to data from the UNs FAO.
In Honduras, 23,000 rice farmers went out of business, and employment from rice fell to 11,200 people from 150,000 after the government trimmed import duties, according to the human rights group Oxfam International. Honduran farms now supply 17 percent of the domestic demand for rice, down from 90 percent before the tariffs changed.
McNamaras Shift
In Ghana, the World Bank required a tariff reduction on rice to 20 percent from 100 percent. Imports tripled, said Raj Patel, a scholar at the Center for African Studies at the University of California at Berkeley.
The free-market policies were a sharp turn from the banks earlier efforts -- led by former bank President Robert McNamara - - to develop poor countries domestic agriculture and self- reliance, said Uma Lele, a World Bank economist from 1971 to 1991 and 1995 to 2005.
McNamara, who oversaw the escalation of the U.S. war in Vietnam as defense secretary under presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson before joining the bank in 1968, shifted his views. He introduced the structural adjustment concept in 1979, in a speech in Manila urging rich nations to open their markets to imports from poor countries.
Developing countries will need to carry out structural adjustments favoring their export sector, he said in the speech. McNamara, 92, declined to comment for this story.
Free Market Principles
World Bank officials were frustrated that their investment in agriculture through the 1970s wasnt paying off, especially in Africa, said Pierre Landell-Mills, a bank economist at the time.
There were state marketing organizations that were a complete nightmare of mismanagement and corruption, said Landell-Mills, 69, now a principal at the Policy Practice, a public policy consulting group in Brighton, England, in a June interview. There were unsustainable subsidies.
The preferred solution, he said, was to dismantle the marketing boards, shrink governments and remove barriers to entrepreneurship. McNamara in 1980 approved the first three structural adjustment loans. By 1985, they made up more than 25 percent of the World Banks total lending, according to Kyle Peters, its country services director.
Free-market principles were on the rise in the U.S. and the U.K., the banks major funders. Margaret Thatcher had become British prime minister in 1979 with promises of privatizing state-owned enterprises. Ronald Reagan was elected U.S. president in 1980, pledging to cut taxes and government programs.
New Ideas, New Staff
Reagan appointed Alden Tom Clausen, a former chief executive officer of Bank America Corp., to succeed McNamara in 1981. The new bank president was convinced that you could fight poverty better and more efficiently and more quickly if you get the policies of a country right, Clausen said in an interview.
I loved structural adjustment loans, and I made a lot of them, he said.
As the banks philosophy evolved, so did its staff. Clausen hired Anne Krueger, an economist known for her advocacy of getting prices right by removing government controls, as vice president for economics and research in 1982. She reshuffled the central economics staff, wrote Devesh Kapur, in the banks official history, The World Bank: Its First Half Century.
Of course the direction of research had changed, Krueger, 74, said in an interview on Aug. 25. She acknowledged that some economists left because they didnt agree with the banks focus. Research moved away from big planning models with unreasonable incentives and swung toward things that were much more conducive to agriculture.
Dysfunctional Systems
Krueger led a five-volume study that concluded developing countries were hurting their own agriculture with tax and exchange rate policies. She said the banks free-trade principles boosted output and growth.
These were largely dysfunctional systems, she said. It made sense to reduce tariffs so that countries could produce the goods that they were most efficient at.
After leaving the bank in 1986, Krueger became first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, which makes loans to help countries correct balance of payment problems and promotes economic policies.
As structural adjustment loans grew, the portion of the World Banks lending devoted to agriculture fell, to about 8 percent in 2000 from 30 percent in 1980. Last year, farm-related loans made up 12 percent of the banks $24.7 billion portfolio.