Late July should be *primo*...
I just realized the bachelor party is the weekend of July 12th. Biking and fly fishing. I'm not sure we'll be able to do either between snow on trails and high melt on the streams/river. Oh man, I'm gonna have a hangover when we're done...
Yeah, the last estimates I saw were saying 2-3 weeks later than normal. So teh Crest is usually considered "fully in" around July 4th, this year it's likely to be closer to July 24th. But the snowpack melt isn't really the whole story in a lot of places, we had that epic avalanche cycle in March, and all the debris is gonna take a hot minute to get cleared. On our hike up towards Grays/Torreys this weekend, we crossed an avy debris pile on the road that will probably keep that road closed for the summer. The avy ran all the way across the valley, buried the road, and then snapped 100-year-old trees on the opposite side of the valley as it headed uphill. Sobering, and awesome.
more avalanches?
I guess I was meaning that in the next 6 weeks we could see a lot of melting... but also yes; there will most certainly be more avalanches in the next 6 weeks. Mostly point-release wet slides, or avalanches caused by cornice fall, I suspect. Hopefully now that the snowpack has pretty well "stabilized" (i.e. it's had several freeze/melt events and has consolidated to a degree) we won't see the large, destructive avalanches that were running naturally in early March.
Is the bach gig in Crusty Butt?
Yep. I'll pass this along to the fish guys.
Reach out if you're thinking SWMT, and @Serial Midget and I will try to meet up...
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that's insane.
Okay, wise guy... which segment?
Insane, but also sorta misleading. Gunni river basin is usually melted out by now, and it's just... Not. Melting.
That and there is only a *single* site that is reporting snow in that basin. So data is kind of useless at this point. That said - there is still a retaaaaaahded amount of snow up high, according to all photographic evidence.
I've seen it with my own damn eyeballs.
Looking at it right now. Retahhhhhhded.
I only had the chance to do one big ride in Centennials last year, up keg springs to CDT (which is cough, cough, eminently shuttleable...)
Scofield Pass data says it's normally melted out by now, but currently has 5 foot deep snow still.
I suck at working the Snotel interactive map.
This is mid-mt at the ski area:
LOLZ
That's what I was saying yesterday. Those numbers are so far off scale I find them suspicious despite having seen this years snowfall with my own peepers, and my peepers dont lie.
https://ridemonkey.bikemag.com/threads/crusty-butt-in-late-july-co-monkeys.284439/#post-4349350
Numbers aren't lying, it's just a late melt.
they divided by zero? never divide by zeroNumbers aren't lying, it's just a late melt.
It's basically second column dividing by third column zero at this point.
https://wcc.sc.egov.usda.gov/reportGenerator/view/customSingleStationReport/daily/737:CO:SNTL|id=""|name/-29,0/WTEQ::value,WTEQ::median_1981,WTEQ:ctOfMedian_1981,SNWD::value,PREC::value,PREC::average_1981,PREC:
Right on, we'll see how things shake out. Grizzlies are ok, although I don't normally ride with pepper spray. Where I ride in North Idaho there's brown and black bears. Do people ride with pepper spray in bear country? I know lots of hikers/backpackers do. I can't recall anyone showing off bear spray in their mtb kit though.
