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declassifying of NIE: truth laid bare?

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
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nytimes
Senators Call for Release of Intelligence Estimate on Terrorism
By MARK MAZZETTI

WASHINGTON, Sept. 25 — The top Republican and Democratic members of the Senate Intelligence Committee called on Monday for the White House to declassify the National Intelligence Estimate on terrorism that was produced in April.

But Bush administration officials said they did not intend to make the document public.

The existence of the document was disclosed over the weekend by The New York Times. American officials who have read the document said its conclusions included a judgment that the American invasion and occupation of Iraq had helped fuel the global jihad movement and that Islamic radicalism had spread since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

Senators Pat Roberts, the Kansas Republican who is committee chairman, and John D. Rockefeller IV of West Virginia, the ranking Democrat, said the report should be released to improve understanding of the terrorism threat that the United States faces.

“I think the administration should declassify this document so the American people can see the material for themselves and come to their own conclusions,” Mr. Roberts said in a statement.
what an excellent idea!
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
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The existence of the document was disclosed over the weekend by The New York Times. American officials who have read the document said its conclusions included a judgment that the American invasion and occupation of Iraq had helped fuel the global jihad movement and that Islamic radicalism had spread since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.
Considering that there was also an article in the WaPo recently about how the intelligence agencies were all in agreement that the war in Iraq has fueled Islamic fundamentalism and helped swell the ranks of terrorists, do you still contend that going into Iraq was a good idea and that it's helping in the fight against terror?
 

BurlyShirley

Rex Grossman Will Rise Again
Jul 4, 2002
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Considering that there was also an article in the WaPo recently about how the intelligence agencies were all in agreement that the war in Iraq has fueled Islamic fundamentalism and helped swell the ranks of terrorists, do you still contend that going into Iraq was a good idea and that it's helping in the fight against terror?
I only think it helps in that other countries with the idea of harboring and aiding terrorist groups will think twice about it because there's been a precedent which shows the US means business. It doesnt do much for the terrorists themselves, but no leader wants to be deposed and put to trial by the US military. We've shown we'll do it, and that's got to make some of these governments think twice before aiding/giving money to Al Queda etc...

While it may not actually reduce the number of terrorists, you have to beleive it reduces their ability to be effective. Without funding and support, the terrists will have a tougher time being seen as a legitimate political force. This is good. If we can reduce them to random suicide bombing and hijackins vs. attaining any real political prowess through radical islam, Id say we're on some form of the right track.
 

N8 v2.0

Not the sharpest tool in the shed
Oct 18, 2002
11,003
149
The Cleft of Venus
I only think it helps in that other countries with the idea of harboring and aiding terrorist groups will think twice about it because there's been a precedent which shows the US means business. It doesnt do much for the terrorists themselves, but no leader wants to be deposed and put to trial by the US military. We've shown we'll do it, and that's got to make some of these governments think twice before aiding/giving money to Al Queda etc...

While it may not actually reduce the number of terrorists, you have to beleive it reduces their ability to be effective. Without funding and support, the terrists will have a tougher time being seen as a legitimate political force. This is good. If we can reduce them to random suicide bombing and hijackins vs. attaining any real political prowess through radical islam, Id say we're on some form of the right track.
What you said...

:)
 

Transcend

My Nuts Are Flat
Apr 18, 2002
18,040
3
Towing the party line.
I only think it helps in that other countries with the idea of harboring and aiding terrorist groups will think twice about it because there's been a precedent which shows the US means business. It doesnt do much for the terrorists themselves, but no leader wants to be deposed and put to trial by the US military. We've shown we'll do it, and that's got to make some of these governments think twice before aiding/giving money to Al Queda etc...

While it may not actually reduce the number of terrorists, you have to beleive it reduces their ability to be effective. Without funding and support, the terrists will have a tougher time being seen as a legitimate political force. This is good. If we can reduce them to random suicide bombing and hijackins vs. attaining any real political prowess through radical islam, Id say we're on some form of the right track.
Probably true in some cases, but it doesn't really seem to bother Iran, Syria, possibly North Korea etc.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
56,419
22,507
Sleazattle
I only think it helps in that other countries with the idea of harboring and aiding terrorist groups will think twice about it because there's been a precedent which shows the US means business. It doesnt do much for the terrorists themselves, but no leader wants to be deposed and put to trial by the US military. We've shown we'll do it, and that's got to make some of these governments think twice before aiding/giving money to Al Queda etc...

While it may not actually reduce the number of terrorists, you have to beleive it reduces their ability to be effective. Without funding and support, the terrists will have a tougher time being seen as a legitimate political force. This is good. If we can reduce them to random suicide bombing and hijackins vs. attaining any real political prowess through radical islam, Id say we're on some form of the right track.
The big problem even if we did shut down governments funding Al K. Dugh we ramped up hatred of the US and swelled their bank accounts with private support.
 

Transcend

My Nuts Are Flat
Apr 18, 2002
18,040
3
Towing the party line.
American officials who have read the document said its conclusions included a judgment that the American invasion and occupation of Iraq had helped fuel the global jihad movement and that Islamic radicalism had spread since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.
And it took how many hundred-million dollars to come up with this conclusion??
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
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I only think it helps in that other countries with the idea of harboring and aiding terrorist groups will think twice about it because there's been a precedent which shows the US means business. It doesnt do much for the terrorists themselves, but no leader wants to be deposed and put to trial by the US military. We've shown we'll do it, and that's got to make some of these governments think twice before aiding/giving money to Al Queda etc...
Because we've shown that we are willing to go into a country that WASN'T harboring terrorists? Oh, and I see it's done wonders for Pakistan, Iran, Syria, etc.

Edit: Transcend beat me to it, but he forgot Pakistan. (Reminds me of "He forgot Poland."
While it may not actually reduce the number of terrorists, you have to beleive it reduces their ability to be effective. Without funding and support, the terrists will have a tougher time being seen as a legitimate political force. This is good. If we can reduce them to random suicide bombing and hijackins vs. attaining any real political prowess through radical islam, Id say we're on some form of the right track.
That's the whole point of the article. It has had the opposite effect. The report is basically saying that we are more at risk now than we were before we went into Iraq.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
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The big problem even if we did shut down governments funding Al K. Dugh we ramped up hatred of the US and swelled their bank accounts with private support.
but it was canadian money, which has shown to be dodgy
 

BurlyShirley

Rex Grossman Will Rise Again
Jul 4, 2002
19,180
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TN
Guys,

I realize that our current situation doesnt lend itself to being considered successful, but I honestly think that with a less-heavy-handed approach (i dunno trade incentives, etc) we can get some of these govts. on our side AND the rest of the world to help us out if we just play our cards right. Radical islam and western culture simply CANNOT peacefully exist. If we show that we're willing to work with the Syrias of the world, but that we also arent going to take any terrorist **** it can be a win-win.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
just got my greasy fingers on an excerpt (leaked!!) of the NIE:
In one of its early paragraphs, the estimate notes progress in the struggle against terrorism, stating the U.S.-led efforts have "seriously damaged Al Qaida leadership and disrupted its operations." [Didn't see that in the NYT article.]

Or how about this statement, which--in part--reflects the impact of increased pressure on the terrorists: "A large body of reporting indicates that people identifying themselves as jihadists is increasing...however, they are largely decentralized, lack a coherent strategy and are becoming more diffuse." [Hmm...doesn't sound much like Al Qaida's pre-9-11 game plan.]

The report also notes the importance of the War in Iraq as a make or break point for the terrorists: "Should jihadists leaving Iraq perceive themselves to have failed, we judge that fewer will carry on the fight." [It's called a ripple effect.]

More support for the defeating the enemy on his home turf: "Threats to the U.S. are intrinsically linked to U.S. success or failure in Iraq." President Bush and senior administration officials have made this argument many times--and it's been consistently dismissed by the "experts" at the WaPo and Times.

And, some indication that the "growing" jihad may be pursuing the wrong course: "There is evidence that violent tactics are backfiring...their greatest vulnerability is that their ultimate political solution (shar'a law) is unpopular with the vast majority of Muslims." [Seems to contradict MSM accounts of a jihadist tsunami with ever-increasing support in the global Islamic community..]

The estimate also affirms the wisdom of sowing democracy in the Middle East: "Progress toward pluralism and more responsive political systems in the Muslim world will eliminate many of the grievances jihadists exploit." [...the core of our strategy in Afghanistan and Iraq.]
 

Slugman

Frankenbike
Apr 29, 2004
4,024
0
Miami, FL
While it may not actually reduce the number of terrorists, you have to beleive it reduces their ability to be effective. Without funding and support, the terrists will have a tougher time being seen as a legitimate political force. This is good. If we can reduce them to random suicide bombing and hijackins vs. attaining any real political prowess through radical islam, Id say we're on some form of the right track.
Or they just learn how to hide it better. That gives us more terrorist, but fewer KNOWN terrorist.

The funding is still happening, support for terrorist is growing and for what? To bring to justice someone that did nothing to us other than act like he would resist us?

Well time to invade Somalia (again), Iran, N. Korea, Syria, Cuba... the list goes on and on.

In a weird way our government acts like the terrorist, and I'm not talking about killing civilians and things that obvious..

We call them violent and evil, so they riot and attack anything western - which proves our point.

They say we are trying to kill off Islam and 'westernize' the Middle East, and we invade 2 countries and try to control others - which proves their point.

The war for the hearts and minds of the people is being lost, which means terrorism can only grow. Hence the war on terror has already been lost. How does violence change people minds when they believe they are being victimized?
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
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just got my greasy fingers on an excerpt (leaked!!) of the NIE:
And, without the surrounding text, we have no way of knowing whether those accounts mean what you think they mean. Further, the NIE is supposed to bring together all the work of the many intel agencies, so it would not be surprising if there were some differing views. The point is that the NIE as a whole goes against the view that we are helping ourselves.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
And, without the surrounding text, we have no way of knowing whether those accounts mean what you think they mean. Further, the NIE is supposed to bring together all the work of the many intel agencies, so it would not be surprising if there were some differing views. The point is that the NIE as a whole goes against the view that we are helping ourselves.
are you trying to suggest someone would take a fair-and-balanced report & quote select parts to fit their agenda?

it's this kind of demogoguery by 99% of politicians that make the other 1% look bad.
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
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are you trying to suggest someone would take a fair-and-balanced report & quote select parts to fit their agenda?

it's this kind of demogoguery by 99% of politicians that make the other 1% look bad.
Considering that the Bush admin is already speaking out against the NIE, I would think that the NIE is not flattering for the admin.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
Considering that the Bush admin is already speaking out against the NIE, I would think that the NIE is not flattering for the admin.
it's a rope-a-dope, another crafty scheme hatched by kkkarl rove himself.

"the thrilla-on-the-hilla"
 

Greyhound

Trail Rat
Jul 8, 2002
5,065
365
Alamance County, NC
Good points......consider this scenario:

Looking back to our past---to the civil rights movement. What if the NY Times ran a story that read: "Civil Rights Movement said to Worsen Threat of Racism." Reading on, the article says: "...Efforts by the Justice Dept. to end racial discrimination in the South has fanned the flames of racial animosity" and "Recruitment of members into the Ku Klux Klan have increased since the federal government increased its efforts to bring the vote to Southern blacks."

So....the question is, would it be time to pull back and let the racists and bigots just have their way? Or would our determination to go forward with the civil rights struggle merely be strengthened?

They're saying that we shouldn't have invaded Iraq because it is causing more terrorism.

In other words: We made them mad. We shouldn't fight wars because it might upset Islamic terrorists. Could you imagine how mad they might be if we caught Osama bin Laden? After all, if we catch them, it's just going to piss them off......well, can't have that, can we?
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
2,864
0
In a handbasket
Good points......consider this scenario:

Looking back to our past---to the civil rights movement. What if the NY Times ran a story that read: "Civil Rights Movement said to Worsen Threat of Racism." Reading on, the article says: "...Efforts by the Justice Dept. to end racial discrimination in the South has fanned the flames of racial animosity" and "Recruitment of members into the Ku Klux Klan have increased since the federal government increased its efforts to bring the vote to Southern blacks."

So....the question is, would it be time to pull back and let the racists and bigots just have their way? Or would our determination to go forward with the civil rights struggle merely be strengthened?

They're saying that we shouldn't have invaded Iraq because it is causing more terrorism.

In other words: We made them mad. We shouldn't fight wars because it might upset Islamic terrorists. Could you imagine how mad they might be if we caught Osama bin Laden? After all, if we catch them, it's just going to piss them off......well, can't have that, can we?
Begging the question. The Civil Rights struggle was actually a struggle against bigots, etc. The war in Iraq was not a fight against the terrorists, since there weren't any there before we got there. Nice try though.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
Begging the question. The Civil Rights struggle was actually a struggle against bigots, etc. The war in Iraq was not a fight against the terrorists, since there weren't any there before we got there. Nice try though.
saddam hussein not a terrorist?

to be fair, his trial isn't yet over.
 

BurlyShirley

Rex Grossman Will Rise Again
Jul 4, 2002
19,180
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TN
Saudi Arabia is giving you the finger and laughing right now
I just dont understand why people bother being so idealogical when there's so much money to be made. We can all be fat and happy and worship whatever the hell we want. Why people gotta explode themselves and pay people to explode themselves is beyond me. I could see it from Afghanistan who has nothing but heroin to offer the world, but these other places could be living a legitimate dream due to their natural resources. This is what I mean about crazelamists being incompatible with the rest of the world. We're all searching for this answer...and there isnt one.
 

Transcend

My Nuts Are Flat
Apr 18, 2002
18,040
3
Towing the party line.
I just dont understand why people bother being so idealogical when there's so much money to be made. We can all be fat and happy and worship whatever the hell we want. Why people gotta explode themselves and pay people to explode themselves is beyond me. I could see it from Afghanistan who has nothing but heroin to offer the world, but these other places could be living a legitimate dream due to their natural resources. This is what I mean about crazelamists being incompatible with the rest of the world. We're all searching for this answer...and there isnt one.
Well to be fair, I guess they could have Morphine and other opiates as well? :biggrin:
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
56,419
22,507
Sleazattle
I just dont understand why people bother being so idealogical when there's so much money to be made. We can all be fat and happy and worship whatever the hell we want. Why people gotta explode themselves and pay people to explode themselves is beyond me. I could see it from Afghanistan who has nothing but heroin to offer the world, but these other places could be living a legitimate dream due to their natural resources. This is what I mean about crazelamists being incompatible with the rest of the world. We're all searching for this answer...and there isnt one.

Some of those craselamista are pissed that the US talks about freedom and democracy while supporting what is basically a Kindom. They watch the Royalty piss away the countries wealth on their own personal whims. Those royals in charge limit freedoms to supress those crazilamists and incite the rest of the country with anti-american propeganda to distract the rest of the country from what is really going on. There are so many puppet strings tangled up in this mess it will pretty much be impossible to fix.
 

BurlyShirley

Rex Grossman Will Rise Again
Jul 4, 2002
19,180
17
TN
Some of those craselamista are pissed that the US talks about freedom and democracy while supporting what is basically a Kindom. They watch the Royalty piss away the countries wealth on their own personal whims. Those royals in charge limit freedoms to supress those crazilamists and incite the rest of the country with anti-american propeganda to distract the rest of the country from what is really going on. There are so many puppet strings tangled up in this mess it will pretty much be impossible to fix.

Why supress the crazelamists only to make crazelamists out of everyone else? That seems counterproductive to me. I can see wanting all the cash, but why drum up hate toward the source of it? If its as simple as it sounds, the Saudi people must just be stupid, but I doubt that's teh case. This is basically where my knowledge on this topic ends.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
to the posts above:

would it be fair to say the wielded tool-of-choice is a particular religion, or would this be an oversimplification?
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
Bush is going to declassify 'select portions' of the NIE now. Flip-flopper. :p
i was just reading this:
He asserted that portions of the classified report that had been leaked were done so for political purposes, referring to the Nov. 7 midterm elections.

Bush announced that he was ordering parts of the report declassified during a White House news conference with Afghan President Hamid Karzai...
rather disappointing, i must admit
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
2,864
0
In a handbasket
to the posts above:

would it be fair to say the wielded tool-of-choice is a particular religion, or would this be an oversimplification?
Religion is certainly weilded as a tool of control over people, much like the church used it to control the population during the Dark Ages in Europe. In this case, it seems to be Islam instead of Xtianity during the DA.
 

Greyhound

Trail Rat
Jul 8, 2002
5,065
365
Alamance County, NC
Religion is certainly weilded as a tool of control over people, much like the church used it to control the population during the Dark Ages in Europe. In this case, it seems to be Islam instead of Xtianity during the DA.
You're seeing it all wrong---Islam teaches one how to be at peace with God---not his fellow Muslim or Christian.
 

Changleen

Paranoid Member
Jan 9, 2004
14,920
2,887
Pōneke
3 1/2 pages of the 30 page report have been declassified.

$tinkle, here is the complete passage of the excerpt you posted earlier:

“United States-led counter-terrorism efforts have seriously damaged the leadership of al-Qaeda and disrupted its operations; however, we judge that al-Qaeda will continue to pose the greatest threat to the Homeland and US interests abroad by a single terrorist organisation. We also assess that the global jihadist movement — which includes al-Qaeda, affiliated and independent terrorist groups, and emerging networks and cells — is spreading and adapting to counter-terrorism efforts.

Although we cannot measure the extent of the spread with precision, a large body of all-source reporting indicates that activists identifying themselves as jihadists, although a small percentage of Muslims, are increasing in both number and geographic dispersion.”
Ouch. Your source was really cherry picking, eh?
 

ohio

The Fresno Kid
Nov 26, 2001
6,649
26
SF, CA
i'm sure there's some appropriately butchered pastor neimoller poem "first they came...".
It's a fair point. Terrorist has become our catch-all for "bad man."

But a terrorist used to be used only for non-government groups specifically using tactics designed to create terror among civilians to achieve political ends. Technically the definition is broader, but that was what it used to mean and it is useful for it to have a specific meaning.

Labelling Saddam a terrorist both diminishes and misrepresents Saddam's particular flavor of evil. He was a tyrannical dictator and most certainly employed terror tactics on his populace often for political ends, but sometimes just for fun, and it was only one of many political tools he used (see Gulf War I, and early 80s US diplomacy for different approaches he has used at times). Also his power was amplified (and centralized) by his official government position.

This oversimplification and inability to define our enemies is part of what got us into this whole mess. Let's not exaccerbate the problem. We'll leave that to Bush.
 

N8 v2.0

Not the sharpest tool in the shed
Oct 18, 2002
11,003
149
The Cleft of Venus
NY Times Iraq Report Fodder for Democrat Party
By Jim Kouri, 9/28/2006 3:01:53 PM

When the mainstream news media and their bosom buddies in the Democrat Party throw accusations around about the conservative-right information machine, most clear-thinking Americans recognize it as a cleverly manufactured smokescreen. The conservatives and Republicans are pikers compared to the true party of misinformation and Orwellian spin.

Last week, the Democrats and the news media broke out in a cold sweat when they saw the latest Gallup poll figures that showed President Bush's approval rating rising, and the overall GOP poll numbers climbing, as well. But what really scared them was that only 25% of those polled liked house of congress. Which means to most observers, that the voters will take out their dissatisfaction with the President in 2008, not 2006.

There had to be a way to stifle the momentum that occurred as a result of falling gas prices, encouraging economic numbers, Americans remembering the 9-11 terrorist attacks, and potential voters being turned off by the rantings of liberal members of the House and Senate.

And so they found it on Sunday. A story that I suspect was fabricated by the New York Times with the help of another treasonous member of the so-called intelligence committee who, as usual, remains an "anonymous source."

The gist of the story was: The war in Iraq actually caused an upsurge in terrorist recruitment. In other words, had we not invaded Iraq, there would be fewer terrorists. I guess the 9-11 attacks, the USS Cole terrorist incident, the bombing of two US embassies, the bombing of the Marine barracks in Saudi Arabia's Khobar Towers and the first bombing of the World Trade Center were aberrations, and it was our toppling of the monster Saddam Hussein that's caused a worldwide increase in terrorism.

The Sunday Times story was a gift from the journalists and editors to the Democrat Party. An anonymous traitor leaked classified information to the Times. However, the Times printed the story without mentioning the name of any person who actually perused the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) to corroborate the information provided by the anonymous traitor. In fact, the anonymous source claims he read the NIE, but I'm certain he never gave a copy to the Times. Also, how interesting that this story came out the day before the Democrat were to begin their full-court press to show they'd be better at fighting terrorism.

This particular NIE, according to Intelligence Czar John Negroponte, is 30-pages long. Are we to believe that the paragraph in question was the only subject of the entire classified report? Further, it takes someone who is ignorant of the NIE to believe the Times story.

The National Intelligence Estimates which is given to the President of the United States and specific officials contains the analysis of several agencies and many individuals. It is not unheard of to read an NIE containing contradictory intelligence estimates. It's just that -- an intelligence estimate. It is not the Holy Bible nor is it etched in stone.

The anonymous sources had to have memorized the 30 pages, which I find doubtful. But let's say they did memorize the NIE -- why a story on only one or two paragraphs that corroborate what the Times editorial writers has been saying ad nauseum for months? Why is there only a segment of the NIE paraphrased in the Sunday New York Times that corroborates the statement made in the past by Senators Ted Kennedy, John Kerry, Dick Durbin, etc., or members of Congress such as Rep. Nancy Pelosi, Charlie Rangel, John Murtha, etc. If these Democrats are able to forecast what the NIE will later report, then we are in deep doo-doo.

The Democrats seized on the NY Times story to score political points, although Associated Press, Washington Post and other media organizations continuously said the Democrats seized on the NIE to launch their attacks. But that isn't so. No one, outside of the people who are supposed to, read the actual National Intelligence Estimate because it's a secret document.

In other words, the only part of the NIE that was quoted by an anonymous traitor is the part that said the Iraq war has increased the terrorist threat. The Democrats, in turn, all day Sunday said it was further evidence that Americans should choose new leadership in the November elections. Further evidence from whom? Their lapdogs at the New York Times?

Quite simply, Democrats hoped for some sort of report that would undermine the GOP's image as the party more capable of handling terrorism as the campaign enters its final six-week stretch. Democrats know they couldn't fight a war against the Marx Brother's mythical nation of Freedonia if their lives depended on it, but they can sure undermine our soldiers, intelligence professionals and law enforcement officers in an effort to make the Commander-in-Chief look bad in the news media.

The Democrats' criticisms came in a collection of press releases sent to reporters Sunday amid the disclosure of a National Intelligence Estimate that concluded the war has helped create a new generation of Islamic radicalism and that the overall terrorist threat has grown since the Sept. 11 attacks. Currently, I have some calls out to find out when these press releases were actually written. Did the NY Times tip off people such as Clintonista Rahm Emanuel? Or did the Democrats actually help the Times by providing "an anonymous source." Remember, we're talking about Washington, DC. I've had more than a few colleagues in law enforcement suddenly garner high-paying jobs within the Beltway.

"This particular NIE was completed in April and represented a consensus view of the 16 disparate spy services inside government, according to an anonymous intelligence official. The official, confirming accounts first published in Sunday's New York Times and Washington Post, spoke on condition of anonymity on Sunday because the report is classified, " wrote the Associated Press.

"Unfortunately this report is just confirmation that the Bush administration's stay-the-course approach to the Iraq war has not just made the war more difficult and more deadly for our troops, but has also made the war on terror more dangerous for every American," said Rep. Rahm Emanuel, head of the Democratic effort to take control of the House. Emanuel is also a diehard Clintonista who's part and parcel of efforts to create a myth about the Terrorism Warrior William Jefferson Clinton.

But I say, "What report?" No one has seen the report -- we've seen the New York Times version of a report its reporters never read, leaked by an anonymous intelligence official or two, while pinpointing only a small part of the alleged National Intelligence Estimate.