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Election Predictions/Results Thread

BurlyShirley

Rex Grossman Will Rise Again
Jul 4, 2002
19,180
17
TN
I seriously wonder what's going to happen in TN. Im predicting the republican (corker) will win even though he has really said NOTHING of substance in his entire campaign. All he says is "strong family values" over and over, and I bet that will be enough. The Democrat, Harold Ford Jr. is just a little too black to win in Tn. That's about the long and short of it.
 

N8 v2.0

Not the sharpest tool in the shed
Oct 18, 2002
11,003
149
The Cleft of Venus
It's amusing that this election is so close since the DNC says most Americans hate the current GOP controlled government...

This should have been a slam-dunk for them
 

jimmydean

The Official Meat of Ridemonkey
Sep 10, 2001
43,558
15,785
Portland, OR
There will be little or no change here. I don't want to call other states to early, but Oregon is so blue it's nearly aqua with the green party folk.
 

skinny mike

Turbo Monkey
Jan 24, 2005
6,415
0
more than likely, all those who get elected or stay will still suck. just some will(hopefully) be on a slightly lower level of suckitude.
 

Old Man G Funk

Choir Boy
Nov 21, 2005
2,864
0
In a handbasket
Let's not forget all the gerrymandering done by incumbents to ensure that incumbents continue to get elected. Even if people are dissatisfied, challengers always face a rather large, uphill battle.
 

N8 v2.0

Not the sharpest tool in the shed
Oct 18, 2002
11,003
149
The Cleft of Venus
Let's not forget all the gerrymandering done by incumbents to ensure that incumbents continue to get elected. Even if people are dissatisfied, challengers always face a rather large, uphill battle.
this shouldn't matter squat if the dem's message is what the voters want....
 

peter6061

Turbo Monkey
Nov 19, 2001
1,575
0
Kenmore, WA
sorry, but no... algore actually sucked that bad.
And what did we get? How much better could GWB have been to only win by a margin that required a recount in Florida. At this point, I'm surprised a Giant Douche didn't win... oh wait.
 

Changleen

Paranoid Member
Jan 9, 2004
14,923
2,890
Pōneke
http://newsblogs.chicagotribune.com/news_theswamp/2006/11/experts_senate_.html#more

Originally posted: November 6, 2006
Experts: Senate will go Democratic

Posted by Frank James at 9:10 pm CST

In their final, pre-election forecast in what is called Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball, Sabato and David Wasserman of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics predict Democrats will win control of both the Senate and House, with Democrats picking up six Senate seats and 29 House seats.

Their analyses of the races makes worthwhile reading, especially their take on the race they have probably followed the closest, the freakish Virginia Senate race between Sen. George Allen, the Republican, and Democrat James Webb, the former Reagan Administration Navy Secretary who was a Republican until he switched parties to make the Senate race.

Here's what they say about the Allen-Webb race:

Jim Webb (D) will unseat Sen. George Allen (R). Of course we're not counting him out altogether, and no one remembers better than us that Virginia was the grand exception to the GOP wave of 1994 (is this Senate seat jinxed?). Nonetheless, Allen's slow self-destruction has been nothing short of breathtaking, and we at the Crystal Ball are still somewhat shocked to find ourselves at the epicenter of the fight for the Senate.

Let's get one thing out of the way: the evolution of this race's closeness has had little to do with Jim Webb or his campaign's efforts and almost everything to do with Allen's self-inflicted wounds, which have made voters' memories of his leadership of a "silicon Dominion" in the 1990's as governor less accessible and have recast him as more of a strictly "Red America" politician. A coordinated attack on Webb's fiction writing may have been the last straw, as the move was roundly criticized by editorial writers. All the alarm bells for Allen are now ringing: he is stuck at about 45 percent in most surveys, the Webb side (an entourage of Governors Wilder, Warner, and Kaine) is clearly being met with more enthusiastic receptions on the stump, and most sources tell us the GOP is headed for major carnage in the Commonwealth's largest vote trove, Northern Virginia. Much as the toppling of Democratic Sen. Tom Daschle came to symbolize the GOP's Senate triumph in 2004, the once-unthinkable defeat of Allen would put an exclamation point on Democrats' wins this year.

They have Democrat Claire McCaskill beating Republican Sen. Jim Talent in Missouri and Democrat Jon Tester defeating Sen. Conrad Burns, the Republican, in Montana.

Even if Democrat Rep. Harold Ford loses his Senate race in Tennessee to Republican Bob Corker, so long as the Democrats hold all their contested seats, which Sabato and Wasserman believe they will, the Senate would go Democratic by a slim margin.
 

sanjuro

Tube Smuggler
Sep 13, 2004
17,373
0
SF
That's all the talk around the Bay Area, annointing Pelosi as the new speaker, but I think it is premature and akin to discussing the Red Sox's chances in the Bronx.
 

BurlyShirley

Rex Grossman Will Rise Again
Jul 4, 2002
19,180
17
TN
I just want to give my stance on this whole thing:

I really could care less about party affiliation, what bugs me are the current issues. The ones that the republicans are pushing the forefront (gay marriage, terror, abortions, church and state) could really be dealt with any time. What concerns me are the immediate issues (Iraq, deficit, oil, immigration, CORRUPTION) and the republicans just seem to be ignoring them or saying "We're making progress" but I just dont see it. Im for whichever candidate is looking at the pertinant, immediate issues and has a plan for dealing with them. That's it. The "family values" card is so tired, and after the Clinton/Lewinski mishap, it was a great move I suppose to get votes from old folks and the religious right. But there are simply much more pressing issues than that right now.
Where is Bin Laden?
Why is Iraq getting WORSE and why are MORE soldiers dying?
Where is the PLAN to make it better?
Why are govt. grants and scholarships being CUT when its obvious this country needs EVERYONE IT CAN AFFORD to be educated to keep up in this world?
Why sell off the natl. forests? Why?

I just want the right issues adressed. It has nothing to do with picking sides. I feel like alot of people see it the same way.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
56,423
22,508
Sleazattle
I just want to give my stance on this whole thing:

I really could care less about party affiliation, what bugs me are the current issues. The ones that the republicans are pushing the forefront (gay marriage, terror, abortions, church and state) could really be dealt with any time. What concerns me are the immediate issues (Iraq, deficit, oil, immigration, CORRUPTION) and the republicans just seem to be ignoring them or saying "We're making progress" but I just dont see it. Im for whichever candidate is looking at the pertinant, immediate issues and has a plan for dealing with them. That's it. The "family values" card is so tired, and after the Clinton/Lewinski mishap, it was a great move I suppose to get votes from old folks and the religious right. But there are simply much more pressing issues than that right now.
Where is Bin Laden?
Why is Iraq getting WORSE and why are MORE soldiers dying?
Where is the PLAN to make it better?
Why are govt. grants and scholarships being CUT when its obvious this country needs EVERYONE IT CAN AFFORD to be educated to keep up in this world?
Why sell off the natl. forests? Why?

I just want the right issues addressed. It has nothing to do with picking sides. I feel like alot of people see it the same way.
Unfortunately elections have never been about the issues. Since TV I think something like 95% of all presidential elections have gone the way of the taller better looking candidate. Hell we are voting on a constitutional amendment in VA that outlaws gay marriage, it is already illegal here. A law would never pass in this state allowing it, it is just a way of stirring up the "family" values votes. If people had to vote on things like the deficit they would have to make hard decisions like cutting spending or raising taxes.
 

Silver

find me a tampon
Jul 20, 2002
10,840
1
Orange County, CA
I just want the right issues adressed. It has nothing to do with picking sides. I feel like alot of people see it the same way.
Then you have to explain single issue voters and all those people who vote straight R or D tickets, no matter the candidate? "Yeah, Hitler's bad, but he's a Republican! The Democrats want to ban the Bible...gotta vote Republican!" or "Sure, Mao is a bit of a dick, but Republicans want to cut spending on Womyn's Action Coalition Diversity Councils! Gotta vote Mao, at least he's a Democrat!"

The fact that there are asshats who still have W and Kerry bumper stickers on their cars helps illustrate the fact that politics is more about cheerleading than issues in this country...
 

urbaindk

The Real Dr. Science
Jul 12, 2004
4,819
0
Sleepy Hollar
My wife and I voted around 9 this morning. Seemed like my polling place had a pretty wide variety of ages. There was a really annoying number of referendums to read. Most of them made no sense whatsoever and I just hope I didn't vote to give my first born to the government or something else stupid.

One thing that was interesting is that we got to vote on a state constitutional ammendment that would require that state recreation lands can't be sold with out consent of the state congress. (Our fine upstanding governor recently tried to sell a bunch of state park land to developers to get some quick cash, f'ing bastard.)

We have the new electronic machines here in MD. I'm not sure about this whole electronic voting thing. In one sense, I liked it because you could correct and change your vote as many times as you like. On the other hand I really don't like that there is no paper trail. (so yeah, I'm with Dante, on that mass voter fraud thing he said...)
 

Beast

Turbo Monkey
May 23, 2002
1,579
0
Where the riding is good
There was a really annoying number of referendums to read. Most of them made no sense whatsoever and I just hope I didn't vote to give my first born to the government or something else stupid.
If you don't know what the referendum is saying, don't vote on it . . . try to be at least a little bit knowledgeable about your decisions.

Also - Ritter for Governor in Colorado
http://www.projectduet.com
DU Environmental Team
DUET
University of Denver Environmental Team
Do it in the the dark
DUET in the dark Come on google . . .
 

Jeremy R

<b>x</b>
Nov 15, 2001
9,703
1,067
behind you with a snap pop
Unfortunately elections have never been about the issues. Since TV I think something like 95% of all presidential elections have gone the way of the taller better looking candidate.
Why are things like that not said more often?
They are simply true.
Good looks and also likability.
When Bush got elected the first time, I kept hearing people say things like, "Bush just seems like the kind of guy I liked to hang out with and share a beer with."
While that may be true, the kind of guy I like to share a beer normally ended up passed out in the front yard with his shirt off, but hey if thats who you want leading the country.
Kerry never stood a chance, with his cartoon Icabod Crane bobble head. That election was over before issue one. Ugly and unlikable.
Bad combo.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
56,423
22,508
Sleazattle
Why are things like that not said more often?
They are simply true.
Good looks and also likability.
When Bush got elected the first time, I kept hearing people say things like, "Bush just seems like the kind of guy I liked to hang out with and share a beer with."
While that may be true, the kind of guy I like to share a beer normally ended up passed out in the front yard with his shirt off, but hey if thats who you want leading the country.
Kerry never stood a chance, with his cartoon Icabod Crane bobble head. That election was over before issue one. Ugly and unlikable.
Bad combo.

The elections I remember

Movie Star vs Carter
Movie Star vs Mondale
Bush Sr. vs Dukaki
Clinton vs Bush Sr
Clinton vs Bob Dole
Shrub jr vs Gore (I'm no man beauty judge but that was a push, you could say so were the results)
Shrub jr vs horseface.
 

Secret Squirrel

There is no Justice!
Dec 21, 2004
8,150
1
Up sh*t creek, without a paddle
I only saw infadels where I voted... mostly old infadels.
I want to start my own intifada....I'm not really sure what that means...but it sounds cool. :biggrin:

BS said:
Buncha stuff
For being a Bears fan, you're alright! Unfortunately, common sense like that just doesn't work in the most uncommon of places....(i.e. DC) I'm with ya though.
 

sanjuro

Tube Smuggler
Sep 13, 2004
17,373
0
SF
I just want to give my stance on this whole thing:

I really could care less about party affiliation, what bugs me are the current issues. The ones that the republicans are pushing the forefront (gay marriage, terror, abortions, church and state) could really be dealt with any time. What concerns me are the immediate issues (Iraq, deficit, oil, immigration, CORRUPTION) and the republicans just seem to be ignoring them or saying "We're making progress" but I just dont see it. Im for whichever candidate is looking at the pertinant, immediate issues and has a plan for dealing with them. That's it. The "family values" card is so tired, and after the Clinton/Lewinski mishap, it was a great move I suppose to get votes from old folks and the religious right. But there are simply much more pressing issues than that right now.
Where is Bin Laden?
Why is Iraq getting WORSE and why are MORE soldiers dying?
Where is the PLAN to make it better?
Why are govt. grants and scholarships being CUT when its obvious this country needs EVERYONE IT CAN AFFORD to be educated to keep up in this world?
Why sell off the natl. forests? Why?

I just want the right issues adressed. It has nothing to do with picking sides. I feel like alot of people see it the same way.
You know, I would have agreed with you last week. But a friend of mine is in Colorado working for Angie Paccione. I was making fun of Angie until I read more about the incumbent, Marilyn Musgrave, who declared this year that gay marriage is the "number one issue" we face.

After reading about some of the Republican losers in Congress (particularily the Rolling Stone article), and the many problems, from coverups to corruption, to the fewest days worked; I realized the problems we face are not about individuals, but about a need for change in the leadership of our country.

Maybe if the Democratics ran things, we all be complaining about more Republicans, but we do need a change...
 

macko

Turbo Monkey
Jul 12, 2002
1,191
0
THE Palouse
Well I'm trying to flip back and forth between CNN, MSNBC, & Fox. It's all pretty interesting ... I hope the Republican/Conservatives feel like a pack of jackasses tomorrow morn.
 

macko

Turbo Monkey
Jul 12, 2002
1,191
0
THE Palouse
Santorum just conceded and thanked God for his blessings. I could say something very funny and sac-relig but ... I'll refrain.
 

N8 v2.0

Not the sharpest tool in the shed
Oct 18, 2002
11,003
149
The Cleft of Venus
Looks like the Dems are within 3 seats for control of the senate... but are those last 3 likey to fall?

They are within 11 of the House.