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Intrade as an election predictor?

Jim Mac

MAKE ENDURO GREAT AGAIN
May 21, 2004
6,364
281
the middle east of NY
Anyone ever check out Intrade , essentially a betting company based in Ireland?

Thoughts on its use for predicting the election? It seems that the people who bet could be crunching the polls, etc to strip away the BS and get down to the essentials of winning the electoral college.

After all, no one wants to lose money.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/
 
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$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
5
i have

idea seems legit, and less likely to involve shenanigans that the other form of gambling known as campaign contributions
 

Jim Mac

MAKE ENDURO GREAT AGAIN
May 21, 2004
6,364
281
the middle east of NY
Oh, Stinkle...I call you Killer because you slay me! :rofl:

It's been pretty much at 60% O'Bummer and 40% Rmoney for at least 2 weeks - a bit different from the whole '50/50 polls are tied in a dead heat' thing.