[Jim Mac]

Anyone ever check out Intrade , essentially a betting company based in Ireland?

Thoughts on its use for predicting the election? It seems that the people who bet could be crunching the polls, etc to strip away the BS and get down to the essentials of winning the electoral college.

After all, no one wants to lose money.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/

 

[$tinkle]

i have

idea seems legit, and less likely to involve shenanigans that the other form of gambling known as campaign contributions

 

[Jim Mac]

Oh, Stinkle...I call you Killer because you slay me!

It's been pretty much at 60% O'Bummer and 40% Rmoney for at least 2 weeks - a bit different from the whole '50/50 polls are tied in a dead heat' thing.

 

[dante]

And 66% chance that the Democrats control the Senate afterwards as well..

 

[Westy]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

 

[stevew]

i predict nothing gets done after the elections.

 

[Pesqueeb]

i predict nothing gets done after the elections.

There is probably an Intrade for that too.