Ruh roh Raggy....Imp prob based on futures, options, and estimates.
The prob has changed. decrease to 1.75 now 72% prob.
I'll put money they go to 1.5 given today's action. If not, the floor will fall out.
Ruh roh Raggy....Imp prob based on futures, options, and estimates.
The prob has changed. decrease to 1.75 now 72% prob.
I'll put money they go to 1.5 given today's action. If not, the floor will fall out.
I hope I'm wrong, but what doesn't make sense is that the DJIA in going back up right now..
Yup, it's not even like the fed said "it's ok, we're not cutting rates because the fundamentals are strong enough to survive this", they said "we're not cutting rates because the risk of inflation is even worse..."I hope I'm wrong, but what doesn't make sense is that the DJIA in going back up right now..
NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Reuters) -U.S. stocks turned higher on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 up 1 percent, after Bloomberg reported, citing a person familiar with negotiations, that the Treasury is mulling a loan package to AIG.
There was also a rumor of AIG getting bailed out by (someone? the fed? other banks?) before the end of the day, but in after-hours its stock is down 40%. I'd be really surprised if the positive feelings from today are extended into tomorrow.good call. likely squeeze. Let's see what tomorrow brings.
Sure, except that the people on Wall Street sell themselves as professionals and they get compensated very well for it. That's like blaming a retard playing 3 card monte for the fact that he's losing money instead of the con man behind the table.
It is completely ridiculous, because if they properly regulated it, then we wouldn't be in this mess where the feds are somewhat forced to bail them out. At least you didn't say socialize the risk like some people on the talking head shows, makes me want to explode.Yeah, I've got a GREAT idea!
Let's publicize risk while privatizing gain! It's like the best of all possible worlds!! I mean, what could go wrong?
Well, yeah. Tons of blame to throw around at the loan companies, the real estate appraisers, the companies that securitized the debt, the companies that rated the debt, and the companies that sold the debt.I'd have brokers tell me the attitude of their customers got steadily worse at the end. They would come in with crappy credit, no money down, no rent history, want 100% and want a stupidly good rate. And if a broker couldnt deliver the customer would find a broker/lender who would.
The brokers would also play the account executives off of eachother. After a while the products just got so aggressive (regarding lending guidelines and rates) it wasnt funny. The brokers and AEs were making so much money that there was little regard for ever saying "no" to a customer. Some lender would book the sludge if you looked hard enough.
Again, for a time it didnt matter. You could get in, have your value fly through the roof and then when the loan adjusted just sell and pay it off or refi and pull out some cash.
I'm not saying it was right, although it was clearly irresponsible. There is plenty of blame to throw around.
It is. The good thing is that most of the people who were working in the mortgage companies as loan reps and associated other jobs who were making large salaries spent as if that was never ever going to change.I noticed on your profile you live in Orange, CA. Man you are in the heart of a lot of what was going on. Your local economy was thoroughly thrashed from what I read.
Funny little anecdote from a few years ago. I was studying at a local coffee shop for the cpa exam when I overheard a couple parents urging (arguing?) their kid to go back to school. He looked to be around 20 and he kept telling them how hot the mortgage industry was and so forth. He sounded like a douche-nozzle, trying to justify his position against his parent's sound judgement. Of course I eavesdropped, he was an idiot. Anyway, I saw him drive away in a 7 with 22s.It is. The good thing is that most of the people who were working in the mortgage companies as loan reps and associated other jobs who were making large salaries spent as if that was never ever going to change.
Most of those assholes are broke now, which is a good thing. There are a lot less BMW 7 Series on PCH cutting me off nowadays.
At least we get another FDRResponding to the collapse of several major investment banks this week, John McCain reassured us, "I think still -- the fundamentals of our economy are strong." That move comes from an old playbook: On Oct. 25, 1929, Herbert Hoover declared, "The fundamental business of the country, that is the production and distribution of commodities, is on a sound and prosperous basis."