Major Rain and windstorm forcast to hit Bay Area starting Wed Night

Discussion in 'The Lounge' started by eric strt6, Jan 1, 2008.

  1. eric strt6

    eric strt6 Resident Curmudgeon

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    Man this is going to be interesting. It appears that my place in the Santa Cruz Mountains is going to catch the brunt of this storm

    Special Weather Statement

    SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
    223 PM PST TUE JAN 1 2008

    CAZ006-505>518-021300-
    SAN FRANCISCO-
    COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
    NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
    SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
    EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
    SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
    MONTEREY BAY...NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND
    CARMEL VALLEY-BIG SUR COAST-
    SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
    SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
    MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
    PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
    223 PM PST TUE JAN 1 2008

    ...RAIN AND WIND EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE SAN
    FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS..

    A MAJOR CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE IN
    THE EASTERN PACIFIC STARTING THURSDAY. STRONG ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED
    TO BRING A SERIES OF PACIFIC STORMS INTO THE REGION...WITH THE
    POTENTIAL FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
    STRONG WINDS.

    THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL BRING MODERATE TO
    LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY
    AREAS THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY WITH
    THIS FIRST SYSTEM...POSSIBLY GUSTING TO 45 MPH ALONG THE COAST AND
    IN THE MOUNTAINS.

    A SECOND AND VERY POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY
    RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
    CALIFORNIA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS GUSTING TO AS
    HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST AND IN
    THE MOUNTAINS. DUE TO THE STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL
    FLOW WITH THIS SECOND SYSTEM...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT
    OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT OF RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
    FACING MOUNTAIN AND FOOTHILL LOCATIONS. THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY
    HIGH RAINFALL RATES IN THE MOUNTAINS AND HILLS WILL BRING THE
    POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING.

    A THIRD WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING ANOTHER THREAT OF
    SIGNIFICANT RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT
    APPEARS THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE COLDER WITH LESS MOISTURE. SNOW
    LEVELS COULD LOWER TO 2000 TO 3000 FEET...WITH SNOW POSSIBLE ON
    THE BAY AREA HILLS.

    PRELIMINARY RAINFALL TOTALS LOOK TO BE QUITE IMPRESSIVE FOR THE
    ENTIRE EVENT FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THIS
    TIME...COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT BETWEEN 2 TO 5
    INCHES OF RAIN...WITH MOUNTAINS RECEIVING BETWEEN 5 TO 10 INCHES
    OF RAIN. THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS
    COULD RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES OF RAIN BY THE END OF THE
    WEEKEND. AGAIN...ALL THESE ARE PRELIMINARY NUMBERS AND CAN BE
    EXPECTED TO CHANGE AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

    THESE STRONG PACIFIC STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BRING A LARGE
    WESTERLY SWELL INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH
    SUNDAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH SURF CONDITIONS ACROSS
    ALL WEST FACING BEACHES.

    PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS
    AND STATEMENTS AS THIS WEATHER SITUATION DEVELOPS
     
    #1 -   Jan 1, 2008

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  2. PatBranch

    PatBranch Turbo Monkey

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    Mammoth will be so good! :drool:
     
    #2 -   Jan 1, 2008
  3. Icantdrive65

    Icantdrive65 Monkey

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    I better put my seatbelt on.
     
    #3 -   Jan 1, 2008
  4. eric strt6

    eric strt6 Resident Curmudgeon

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    Wanna bet that the Brookdale Lodge gets Flooded by the creek that runs through it?:busted:

    I'm going to stock up at Costco tomorrow because I'm betting that all hell breaks loose up here on Skyline Blvd near Castle rock and we won't have power and the roads will be closed with downed trees.

    I wonder how high the San Lorenzo will get?
     
    #4 -   Jan 1, 2008
  5. HAB

    HAB Chelsea from Seattle

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    Wierd. I thought my town was the one that got the worst weather avaliable. There must be some sort of a mistake. To quote bluebug, "I never knew just how much weather could suck until I came to Ithaca." :D
     
    #5 -   Jan 1, 2008
  6. 1453

    1453 Monkey

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    with the trash that's piled up there, should suck for whoever is down stream
     
    #6 -   Jan 1, 2008
  7. mantispf2000

    mantispf2000 Turbo Monkey

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    And then this storm is supposed to move inland, to the Tahoe area, and I've heard we're supposed to get 2-10 FEET of snow, depending on the elevation. Granted, with the weatherman's record this year, I'd still bet the under if I could. But then, my stepson, who works at Heavenly, will absolutely love the deep powpow, and I can only imagine how Mammoth/N*/Squaw/etc will fare.

    Bring on the snow chains/spikes!!!
     
    #7 -   Jan 1, 2008
  8. Lady Gravity

    Lady Gravity Chimp

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    interesting. i guess this storm is hitting my area (vancouver, bc) first, then heading down to cali. we have a wind warning for tonight.

    "Tues eve: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening. Rain beginning later this evening. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Wind southeast 30 to 50 km/h increasing to 60 to 80 this evening. Temperature rising to 7 by morning. "
     
    #8 -   Jan 2, 2008
  9. LordOpie

    LordOpie MOTHER HEN

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    that storm is supposed to continue into Colorado next week and dump.
     
    #9 -   Jan 2, 2008
  10. PatBranch

    PatBranch Turbo Monkey

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    :D I was at heavenly 2 weeks ago. They got good powder one day, but it wasn't very deep. I came home with my board all scraped up from rocks.

    I'm going to Mammoth next week!
     
  11. dump

    dump Turbo Monkey

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    thanks for the heads up
     
  12. dhmike

    dhmike Turbo Monkey

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    the storm is supposed to hit socal thursday night and rain to monday. screws up my riding weekend.
     
  13. SVPPB

    SVPPB Monkey

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    They're pushing back the landing dates now for Tahoe. Damn if we don't need the snow right now too, Squaw would be kick ass on roller skates if we got even 4'.

    So what I think that says is that we're getting a faux blizzard with a lot of wind. How this is any different from any other storm in Tahoe is beyond me.

    I am really thinking about going down to the local news channel and punching the weather man in his fruity mouth. He "staked his reputation" on the fact this would be the "storm of the decade" for the Tahoe/Reno area. If you're gonna stake your reputation then you might want to anticipate a whoopin should your prediction not come to fruition.

    I feel like someone just told me Santa wasn't real...
     
  14. sanjuro

    sanjuro Tube Smuggler

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    Get the rain suit out, no driving for me.
     
  15. SVPPB

    SVPPB Monkey

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    Has it begun to drizzle?
     
  16. I Are Baboon

    I Are Baboon Run, Forrest, Run!

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    Wife and I will be in Tahoe next month. Make it snow, god dammit.
     
  17. SVPPB

    SVPPB Monkey

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    They stripped me of my weather control ability after that whole Katrina thing. Something about shocking abuses of power...
     
  18. Icantdrive65

    Icantdrive65 Monkey

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    Don't say that stuff. The creek that flows through the lodge dumps into the San Lorenzo at the end of the property I live on...like 100 feet from my house.
     
  19. kidwoo

    kidwoo Celebrating No-Pants Day

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    Can't fvcking wait

    bring it:)


    If you're thinking about driving up from the bay area.......don't.

    Too dangerous








    for me to be on the road with you
     
  20. sanjuro

    sanjuro Tube Smuggler

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    I own a Hummer so I can go anywhere I want in any conditions.
     
  21. kidwoo

    kidwoo Celebrating No-Pants Day

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    Do it at full speed.


    Those things corner like a dream.
     
  22. stoney

    stoney Part of the unwashed, middle-American horde

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    Been a while since I busted out the studded tires... This might be a good time.
     
  23. sanjuro

    sanjuro Tube Smuggler

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    The nice thing about driving a Hummer in the snow is that I still drive the same speed when it is dry and still have the same handling and braking characteristics. I should just drive my rear-wheel Mustang with slicks.

    BTW, I grew up in New York, went to school in Buffalo, and lived in New England. Do you think I need advice about driving in the snow from someone from Florida?
     
  24. stevew

    stevew unique white person

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    Yes..
     
  25. sanjuro

    sanjuro Tube Smuggler

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    FU then. I am driving my 4 cylinder minivan, with a rooftop cargo box, bald tires, and a carload of skiers.

    See you at Mt Rose noon tomorrow.
     
  26. Icantdrive65

    Icantdrive65 Monkey

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    It is dumping right now!
     
  27. I Are Baboon

    I Are Baboon Run, Forrest, Run!

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    I've been keeping an eye on the Tahoe weather lately. Looks like you're in for a fun weekend!
     
  28. blue

    blue boob hater

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    5-12 feet forcasted for Yootard mountains. Please. PLLLEEEASE.
     
  29. mantispf2000

    mantispf2000 Turbo Monkey

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    Well, I'm looking out my front window, and we're getting rained on immensely. Can't see the mountains/Heavenly because of the clouds, so I'm thinking they're getting a good dose of the fresh powpow as I type.

    The wife is all worried, since we have to work this weekend and she can't stand driving in the snow, although we'll be carpooling and I'll be driving. Guess her paranoia over-rides my calmness to the weather..............
     
  30. kidwoo

    kidwoo Celebrating No-Pants Day

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    Well you ARE asian.
     
  31. Red Rabbit

    Red Rabbit Picky Pooper

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    Woke up with no power.

    My car had several small branches on it and one large one blocking it.

    It wasn't very thick (6 inches diameter) but it was really long and a jeep was parked over the top of it.

    So I decided to drive over it. I pressed the lift button, my car
    rose 1.5 inches and I drove right over it.

    I have never been so proud of my Subaru.
     
  32. sanjuro

    sanjuro Tube Smuggler

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    What a bunch of fags!

    I rode today in a full rain suit. I was passing broken down buses and stuck cars.

    The biggest problem was the train broke down for a half hour. Only my bike worked.