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Paris Roubaix Predictions

ire

Turbo Monkey
Aug 6, 2007
6,196
4
Who do you think will win? I'm hoping Fabian pulls it off and upsets Tom again. I'm going to be up bright and early to watch it live on steephill.tv
 

JRogers

talks too much
Mar 19, 2002
3,785
1
Claremont, CA
Lots of luck is needed in this race, so who knows. But I think Fabian is the favorite. Did you see him in Flanders? He was climbing up the hill he dropped Boonen on without any perceptible struggle- just spinning seated. And then he motored away from Boonen like only he can. Very impressive form at the moment.
 

James

Carbon Porn Star
Sep 11, 2001
3,559
0
Danbury, CT
Lots of luck is needed in this race, so who knows. But I think Fabian is the favorite. Did you see him in Flanders? He was climbing up the hill he dropped Boonen on without any perceptible struggle- just spinning seated. And then he motored away from Boonen like only he can. Very impressive form at the moment.
I think it's going to be pretty hard for those guys to get away clean, they're going to be marked so hard it won't be funny.
That said, those guys are some of the only folks who have the horsepower to walk away from everyone else. I could see a break of a couple of strong guys, I'd *love* to see it come down to sprint in the 'drome there.
My ideal podium would have George on the podium, I don't think he has a win or even the podium ahead of him tomorrow, but he's been trying this so damn long.

I think we *might* see a surprise from Millar even, he got a taste for it the other week, and might even have a 2nd or 3rd career in front of him on the pave.
 

ire

Turbo Monkey
Aug 6, 2007
6,196
4
Wow another strong move by Fabian lets hope he can hold the rest of the 40 miles.
What's amazing is that the chase group can't even limit the damage...his gap continues to grow.
 

ire

Turbo Monkey
Aug 6, 2007
6,196
4
wow, what a finish! Good race overall....glad I was able to find a live feed that worked.
 

JRogers

talks too much
Mar 19, 2002
3,785
1
Claremont, CA
I caught the last 40k or so online with wonderful Flemish commentary. Good race and a good show from Cancellara. But I was a bit disappointed that the chase didn't do much. Boonen's post-race comments seem to confirm what it looked like was going on: Cancellara surprised him and others, then the chase never really got organized and started racing for second place. Kind of lame in that respect. I know Cancellara is strong, but you'd think Flecha, Boonen, Hushovd and the others could have put up a much better fight if they committed to it instead of being so concerned with second place. But, I guess that's pretty common in cycling.
 

ire

Turbo Monkey
Aug 6, 2007
6,196
4
I caught the last 40k or so online with wonderful Flemish commentary. Good race and a good show from Cancellara. But I was a bit disappointed that the chase didn't do much. Boonen's post-race comments seem to confirm what it looked like was going on: Cancellara surprised him and others, then the chase never really got organized and started racing for second place. Kind of lame in that respect. I know Cancellara is strong, but you'd think Flecha, Boonen, Hushovd and the others could have put up a much better fight if they committed to it instead of being so concerned with second place. But, I guess that's pretty common in cycling.
That would have been a hell of a lot of work....you expect too much from those guys :) You would think they would say, let's catch him..better one of us wins than him.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,848
20,702
Sleazattle
Me too. I don't think he can win the Tour this year, but have high hopes for the Vuelta or Giro for him. He's making the rest of Saxo look not so hot right now. Hope they get some good money for next year.
So he can't win the Le tour but he might have a chance at the other tours with more climbing? The dude has incredible horsepower but is too big to ever be a premier climber.
 

loco-gringo

Crusading Clamp Monkey
Sep 27, 2006
8,887
14
Deep in the heart of TEXAS
So he can't win the Le tour but he might have a chance at the other tours with more climbing? The dude has incredible horsepower but is too big to ever be a premier climber.
I'm not sure he couldn't, but I suspect they have other cards to play. Never the less...he's this year's most awesome already.
 

MMcG

Ride till you puke!
Dec 10, 2002
15,457
12
Burlington, Connecticut
I watched a bunch of this on Versus last night. Such a cool race. I kept thinking - holy crap those cobblestones look punishing. And I kept wondering when I saw so many black clouds overhead - holy carnage if those clouds start to unleash rain on the riders. It must be one helluva crazy race in the rain/wet.

Cancellara was dominant.
 

Heidi

Der hund ist laut und braun
Aug 22, 2001
10,184
797
Bend, Oregon
I too was frustrated that a group of "big names" couldn't get it together to chase Fabien down. I wanted to get on the front and help them pull!
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,848
20,702
Sleazattle
I'm not sure he couldn't, but I suspect they have other cards to play. Never the less...he's this year's most awesome already.
He weighs 180 lbs. I counter your double negative with a triple negative. I'm not unsure that he couldn't. In other words, No.
 

JRogers

talks too much
Mar 19, 2002
3,785
1
Claremont, CA
No way Cancellara could win the Tour. He'd have to do a Wiggins and then some: lose weight, keep power, become a GC rider for 3+weeks.
 

OGRipper

back alley ripper
Feb 3, 2004
10,673
1,163
NORCAL is the hizzle
Well, it wasn't exactly a tough call, and I have no proof, but I totally pegged this one: Talking to a friend on Saturday night I said that if conditions are dry, no one will touch Cancellara.

Damn I am awesome. I can has a cookie? :rolleyes: Go Spartacus!!

I really hate the nagging question of whether he is clean. I know it's unavoidable, and some of his peers are not so subtle when they call him an "alien", or "unnatural" or "extra-terrestrial", but still, I wish we could just believe.
 

ire

Turbo Monkey
Aug 6, 2007
6,196
4
Doesn't Saxo still have the independent doping testing? I can't recall anyone on the team being implicated in doping other than Basso.