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S&P just downgraded us from AAA to AA+

dante

Unabomber
Feb 13, 2004
8,807
9
looking for classic NE singletrack
Interesting parsing of the S&P's press release on FrumForum.

S&P said:
We lowered our long-term rating on the U.S. because we believe that the prolonged controversy over raising the statutory debt ceiling and the related fiscal policy debate indicate that further near-term progress containing the growth in public spending, especially on entitlements, or on reaching an agreement on raising revenues is less likely than we previously assumed and will remain a contentious and fitful process.
Thanks teabaggers....

edit: And this little tidbit from the WSJ:

WSJ said:
The firm's conclusion "was pretty much motivated by all of the debate about the raising of the debt ceiling," John Chambers, chairman of S&P's sovereign ratings committee, said in an interview. "It involved a level of brinksmanship greater than what we had expected earlier in the year."
 
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X3pilot

Texans fan - LOL
Aug 13, 2007
5,860
1
SoMD
Thanks teabaggers....
Not always..it goes further back than this, there has always been debate and "brinkmanship"..

"The fact that we're here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. Leadership means 'The buck stops here.' Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better." Senator Obama 2006
They just make it more WWE-esque, that's all.
 

X3pilot

Texans fan - LOL
Aug 13, 2007
5,860
1
SoMD
And from waaaay back last year, prior to the elections this past fall...
“This is going to be a choice between the policies that got us into this mess and my policies that are getting us out of this mess. And I think if you look at the vast majority of Americans, even those who are dissatisfied with the pace of progress, they’ll say that the policies that got us into this mess we can’t go back to… What I’m prepared is to be held accountable for the policies that I’ve put in place. But they Americans don’t have selective memory. They’re gonna remember the policies that got us into this mess as well. And they sure as heck don’t wanna go back to those.”
July 2010 interview

To this week, when it was decided that it's too far gone to blame Bush, this:

White House Blames Japanese Tsunami for Economy

Who remembers "It's the economy, stupid" that made Willie an actual pretty good President...
 

dante

Unabomber
Feb 13, 2004
8,807
9
looking for classic NE singletrack
^^^^Yeah, that's what makes me so depressed about the entire situation. The Tea Party **causes** the downgrade (by the words of John Chambers, chairman of S&P's sovereign ratings committee), and some people seem to think that it's somehow Obama's fault.... Give me a break.

As for Clinton/Reagan, the boom started ~1995, or about 7 years *after* Reagan left office. If we have another calamity in 2015 (or 7 years after Bush leaves office), I won't blame Bush. Deal?


edit: Just noticed that you place the blame entirely on the people at the other end of Penn Ave.
 
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leadership...that word gets thrown around like a thai whore in a frat house.

Boehner certainly didn't show any when he couldn't get his house in order. A buncha career (and i thought shrewd and savvy) politicians got their f-ing marching orders from freshman congressmem and a fringe pseudo-organization? (Tea Party). You're a f-ing JOKE.

Why does a President get all the blame for a ****ty economy?!!? It's not like he is personally setting monetary policy. He didn't make those subprime mortgages. He didn't overvalue and speculate the crap out of the housing market.

Bush Jr certainly didn't cause the crappy economy, the bursting of the housing bubble did. But the cost of 2 wars and tax breaks certainly didnt help it get better. He saw the recession hammer coming down at the end of his presidency and started the gov't bailout ball rolling, with the support of republicans.

Now republicans are saying TARP and all those bailouts were a mistake. and the economy is worse for it. Really? are you jackoffs PHDs in economics???? or maybe have a real Crystal Ball that no one knows about??? MAYBE the economy would really be in the crapper if those bailouts didn't happen. WHO knows?!!? and to stand on your soapbox saying that after 2yrs of "Obama-nomics" has failed is just grandstanding. Really? even if Obama was the Einstein of economics and could wave a magic wand, you really think that it would only take 2 yrs for us to recover from a recession nearly as bad as the Great Depression?

I think uncertainty is causing investors and corporations to hold on to their cash, causing a crappy stock market and not hiring. this debt ceiling bull-sht, cemented this uncertainty. so thank you Tea Baggers and GOP douchers.
 
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this Norquist loser and this pledge of not raising taxes. Why now GOPers? from all the back room dealings, coziness with lobby-ists and special interests, and gay sex in airport bathrooms, you've left broken promises after broken promises. So again, why now are you donning a boy scout uniform with this one measly "pledge"?

you know what i think? and only a very few has even said this. The GOP relished/wanted this manufactured crisis. They wanted the economy to tank even more. This was their ticket to tarnish this Presidency. There was no sex scandal, no illegal quid-pro-quo to hang their hat on with Obama. This was their GOLDEN TICKET.

WAKE THE F UP AMERICANS, the GOP doesn't care about you, your financial troubles, or your health, they care about ONE thing and ONE thing ONLY, to get a republican president into office.
 

Toshi

butthole powerwashing evangelist
Oct 23, 2001
40,223
9,112
I think uncertainty is causing investors and corporations to hold on to their cash, causing a crappy stock market and not hiring. this debt ceiling bull-sht, cemented this uncertainty. so thank you Tea Baggers and GOP douchers.
It's not just uncertainty. It's certainty that the economy is pretty ****ty, not only here but throughout southern Europe.

As I posted over on Google+, the employment to population ratio reveals that headline unemployment numbers are bunk:

 
many employers was listing in their want ads that a job applicant must be currently employed or have been employed in the last 3 months.

to cover their asses against discriminatory lawsuits, many have started leaving that out, but the practice is rampant amongst recruiters and hiring directors.

this f-in' gets me fired up! :rant:
 

dante

Unabomber
Feb 13, 2004
8,807
9
looking for classic NE singletrack
It's not just uncertainty. It's certainty that the economy is pretty ****ty, not only here but throughout southern Europe.

As I posted over on Google+, the employment to population ratio reveals that headline unemployment numbers are bunk:

In 2007 the unemplyoment rate was 4.6%, and it's now "theoretically" down to 9.1%, or 4.5% difference. Your chart shows a change from 63% employed down to 58% employed, or ~5% difference. Unless I'm missing something? :confused:
 

Toshi

butthole powerwashing evangelist
Oct 23, 2001
40,223
9,112
2000's 4.0% unemployment and 2007's 4.6% unemployment were very different things to begin with, as the employment-population ratio never hit its peak. There are millions of discouraged and underemployed workers, only reflected by the U-6 alternative measure and in the employment-population ratio.
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
any theories as to:
- what has to happen to get our AAA back
- how long that should/will take
- who has expressed a clear plan to attain this
 

stevew

resident influencer
Sep 21, 2001
41,347
10,275
any theories as to:
- what has to happen to get our AAA back
- how long that should/will take
- who has expressed a clear plan to attain this
make money.
at this rate...never
gov't isn't in the business of solving problems.
 

jimmydean

The Official Meat of Ridemonkey
Sep 10, 2001
43,514
15,722
Portland, OR
any theories as to:
- what has to happen to get our AAA back
- how long that should/will take
- who has expressed a clear plan to attain this
I am guessing knee pads are in order. Too bad they are killing off the congressional page program, they would be good for that.
 

jimmydean

The Official Meat of Ridemonkey
Sep 10, 2001
43,514
15,722
Portland, OR
many employers was listing in their want ads that a job applicant must be currently employed or have been employed in the last 3 months.

to cover their asses against discriminatory lawsuits, many have started leaving that out, but the practice is rampant amongst recruiters and hiring directors.

this f-in' gets me fired up! :rant:
The issue here is if you are a "professional" and have been eliminated with little or no real skill, many will not find work in that field because people with ACTUAL experience already has it.

In 2001 when IT took a sh!t, I spent 6 months unemployed, then took a job driving a tow truck (I am a software engineer). Not only did it keep me from being labeled "unemployed", but I made more than I did on unemployment AND had medical for me and my family.

In less than a year the market leveled off and hiring started to come back. But it was my ability to adapt that kept me off the black list of folks who are considered unemployable because they simply don't have a job.

I am all for holding out for the job you want, but there is nothing wrong with doing SOMETHING other than celebrate your status as a land baron in Farmville like others I know.
 

stoney

Part of the unwashed, middle-American horde
Jul 26, 2006
22,023
7,928
Colorado
But it was my ability to adapt that kept me off the black list of folks who are considered unemployable because they simply don't have a job.

I am all for holding out for the job you want, but there is nothing wrong with doing SOMETHING other than celebrate your status as a land baron in Farmville like others I know.
I don't know about you, but I'm loving my vacation. That being said though, I'm getting a really good monthly clip. It's kind of hard to find a job that actually brings in more than I currently am in doing nothing, to justify changing that plan.

Then again I am debating going back to school to get a BS in Mech Engineering, so...
 

KavuRider

Turbo Monkey
Jan 30, 2006
2,565
4
CT
The issue here is if you are a "professional" and have been eliminated with little or no real skill, many will not find work in that field because people with ACTUAL experience already has it.

In 2001 when IT took a sh!t, I spent 6 months unemployed, then took a job driving a tow truck (I am a software engineer). Not only did it keep me from being labeled "unemployed", but I made more than I did on unemployment AND had medical for me and my family.

In less than a year the market leveled off and hiring started to come back. But it was my ability to adapt that kept me off the black list of folks who are considered unemployable because they simply don't have a job.

I am all for holding out for the job you want, but there is nothing wrong with doing SOMETHING other than celebrate your status as a land baron in Farmville like others I know.
Couldn't agree more.
Most of my experience is in finance, but after the last company I was working for fell apart, I took a job building A/C units for cars, while looking for another job in finance.
Patience paid off, got a new job I actually like and was able to keep the paychecks rolling in during that time.