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The futility of the Prius and the end of the world as we know it

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JBP, I agree there will be unintended consequences to Geoengineering, but we’ve come too far now. We’ve broken it. The oceans are turning acid, the ice is all melting faster than expected (although not if you were paying attention), the world is literally and figuratively on fire. Insert list of terrible shit here.

I don’t want my children and theirs to live in a dystopian hellscape of multiple pandemics, populist nazis, racism division and violence. Unchecked, have no doubt this is what climate change will bring. We need vast fields of carbon sequestration machines powered by solar farms. We need regenerative agriculture everywhere. We need vast deployments of heatpump bouys floating in the oceans, sucking the heat out and beaming it into space as ultraviolet laser light.

Sounds crazy? Not as crazy as the alternative.
We need the human species to go extinct. The planet will correct itself.
 

mandown

Poopdeck Repost
Jun 1, 2004
21,808
9,119
Transylvania 90210
Has anyone produced a durable thing where the combined benefit from greener production and increased efficiency of that new thing makes it beneficial to replace an existing functioning thing of the same kind?

If you have a functioning TV, is there any new TV you could buy that would be produced and operate so efficiently that it would create a net environmental benefit to buy the new TV?

I think cars might be the most likely candidate but I’m not convinced. Assuming you have a well maintained car of any kind that is 5-10 years old, is there any other car (Prius, Tesla, Volt) you could buy which would create a net benefit to the environment, not just in fuel consumption or emissions, but in totality considering the production of the new vehicle and disposal of the old one.

I’m trying to think of an example and I just can’t come up with one easily. Either I’m missing something obvious or...
 

Jm_

sled dog's bollocks
Jan 14, 2002
20,151
10,699
AK
Has anyone produced a durable thing where the combined benefit from greener production and increased efficiency of that new thing makes it beneficial to replace an existing functioning thing of the same kind?

If you have a functioning TV, is there any new TV you could buy that would be produced and operate so efficiently that it would create a net environmental benefit to buy the new TV?

I think cars might be the most likely candidate but I’m not convinced. Assuming you have a well maintained car of any kind that is 5-10 years old, is there any other car (Prius, Tesla, Volt) you could buy which would create a net benefit to the environment, not just in fuel consumption or emissions, but in totality considering the production of the new vehicle and disposal of the old one.

I’m trying to think of an example and I just can’t come up with one easily. Either I’m missing something obvious or...
I think that assumes that previous product functions perfectly, which IME is almost never the case when we are looking at something that's been around for 20 years. It's usually slowly degraded and save for some exceptions, it generally degrades to the point where it no longer does what it was supposed to do or meets the application requirements. Maybe that's just me, since I hold on to my phones until they completely shit out or when my TV flat out doesn't work anymore. If you assume that previous product works perfectly, you'll never justify replacing in the sense you describe, because it'll always take resources to put the new product together. Consumption is IMO more of a given/constant. We are *going to* consume. Hopefully we can do it smartly and with companies making good decisions (yeah right) to minimize the impacts. This is where the smarter choices come in though, rather than just a fuck-all approach and super-fund sites.

People usually justify buying a new 40K vehicle, saying it'll be "more fuel efficient", spending thousands more per year on that car, it's insurance, the payments, etc., vs. a few hundred in gas, but again, that assumes previous vehicle functions perfectly in all other respects. This is usually the classic example. The justification from fuel efficiency usually doesn't work, given all the energy required to produce a new vehicle, but save for a few unicorns and unique situations, stuff breaks down over time and after a point, it's not always a good idea to keep throwing money into it.
 

mandown

Poopdeck Repost
Jun 1, 2004
21,808
9,119
Transylvania 90210
I was trying to figure out how to qualify how well the “old” thing functioned. Everything has a useful life, and sims things degrade more with use. A TV generally goes from working to not working. A car might go from working, to needing some maintenance, to needing lots of maintenance. I’m not necessarily looking for the old something to be functioning “perfectly” but certainly reasonably well.

Is there a refrigerator or washing machine that has come out in recent years that has made it an obvious choice to replace an existing unit? My apartment has the same dishwasher and refrigerator it came with 15 years ago. I can’t imagine new technology is so good that replacing these items with newer, more efficient ones could ever make sense when looking at the disposal of these and the production of the new ones.

Now, obviously, technology will march forward, and designs will improve. New houses will be constructed and furnished with the latest and greatest appliances. Some remodeling will also happen and existing functioning units will be sold and trickle down into the used market to replace units that have completely failed.

What I’m looking for is an example of a no-brainer advancement that is so good that it is obviously worth replacing a slightly older but functioning unit.
 

rideit

Bob the Builder
Aug 24, 2004
24,686
12,481
In the cleavage of the Tetons
Has anyone produced a durable thing where the combined benefit from greener production and increased efficiency of that new thing makes it beneficial to replace an existing functioning thing of the same kind?

If you have a functioning TV, is there any new TV you could buy that would be produced and operate so efficiently that it would create a net environmental benefit to buy the new TV?

I think cars might be the most likely candidate but I’m not convinced. Assuming you have a well maintained car of any kind that is 5-10 years old, is there any other car (Prius, Tesla, Volt) you could buy which would create a net benefit to the environment, not just in fuel consumption or emissions, but in totality considering the production of the new vehicle and disposal of the old one.

I’m trying to think of an example and I just can’t come up with one easily. Either I’m missing something obvious or...
If it doesn’t have Kashima, it’s unridabru
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
56,002
22,036
Sleazattle
I was trying to figure out how to qualify how well the “old” thing functioned. Everything has a useful life, and sims things degrade more with use. A TV generally goes from working to not working. A car might go from working, to needing some maintenance, to needing lots of maintenance. I’m not necessarily looking for the old something to be functioning “perfectly” but certainly reasonably well.

Is there a refrigerator or washing machine that has come out in recent years that has made it an obvious choice to replace an existing unit? My apartment has the same dishwasher and refrigerator it came with 15 years ago. I can’t imagine new technology is so good that replacing these items with newer, more efficient ones could ever make sense when looking at the disposal of these and the production of the new ones.

Now, obviously, technology will march forward, and designs will improve. New houses will be constructed and furnished with the latest and greatest appliances. Some remodeling will also happen and existing functioning units will be sold and trickle down into the used market to replace units that have completely failed.

What I’m looking for is an example of a no-brainer advancement that is so good that it is obviously worth replacing a slightly older but functioning unit.
Since we still essencially run on a carbon based economy, I think the simplest way to compare that is by basic finances.

So if you have say a paid off and functioning Mazda 3 that will require a few grand in maintenance on top of fuel costs and wanted to compare that with a new Nissan Leaf. You would have to own and operate the Leaf for 17 years for it to make sense to buy one to replace the old Mazda. The general answer is that it always depends, but usually it is best to keep running something older that is still in good condition than it is to buy something new and more efficient.


Airlines typically run airplanes for about 20 years, they usually have a lot more life in them at that point. but that is usually the point where it becomes cheaper to buy a newer more efficient model.
 

iRider

Turbo Monkey
Apr 5, 2008
5,703
3,168
What I’m looking for is an example of a no-brainer advancement that is so good that it is obviously worth replacing a slightly older but functioning unit.
I would say DSLR camera bodies. A 5-10 year old works, but is missing video, higher megapixels, AI-AF, etc. So an upgrade to a mirrorless body is a huge improvement. Lenses on the other hand....
 

Pesqueeb

bicycle in airplane hangar
Feb 2, 2007
41,823
19,144
Riding the baggage carousel.
So if you have say a paid off and functioning Mazda 3 that will require a few grand in maintenance on top of fuel costs and wanted to compare that with a new Nissan Leaf. You would have to own and operate the Leaf for 17 years for it to make sense to buy one to replace the old Mazda. The general answer is that it always depends, but usually it is best to keep running something older that is still in good condition than it is to buy something new and more efficient.
Basically my calculus when I got rid of the jeep. 21 years old, I'd had it for 18. Needed 3-4k in parts/labor, was worth maybe 4-5k if a buyer didn't look too close. Got maybe 16mpg. The Leaf, after factoring in tax credits was a financial, and probably environmental, no brainier. FSM and batteries willing, I'll get almost 2 decades out of the leaf.

I tend to hang on to gadgets to the point where they simply become unusable, either through software bloat or when parts are no longer available.

Airlines typically run airplanes for about 20 years, they usually have a lot more life in them at that point. but that is usually the point where it becomes cheaper to buy a newer more efficient model.
Worth pointing out, not just efficiency here. Can you stretch an airframe out for decades? Yes, but only if one is willing/able to put in the effort. (A10 says "Hi!") The particular aircraft type I spend most of my time on has very intensive inspections that hit at a cycle of about 18 years, give or take. By the time the aircraft is stripped almost down to nothing, inspected, had it's issues addressed, and reassembled, much like my Jeep, an operator is well on his way to paying for whatever the latest, greatest, new-fangled hotness in regional aircraft is.
 

mandown

Poopdeck Repost
Jun 1, 2004
21,808
9,119
Transylvania 90210
By the time the aircraft is stripped almost down to nothing, inspected, had it's issues addressed, and reassembled, much like my Jeep, an operator is well on his way to paying for whatever the latest, greatest, new-fangled hotness in regional aircraft is.
Ship of Theseus
 

ALEXIS_DH

Tirelessly Awesome
Jan 30, 2003
6,202
829
Lima, Peru, Peru
i wonder at what point in american history did elected officials figure out they could get rich
"serving" for the greater good?
Thats the whole point of most "independance wars", and why we have 200+ countries instead of 4-5....
Gotta pump those public server opennings...
 

Changleen

Paranoid Member
Jan 9, 2004
14,729
2,712
Pōneke
It's important to identify and, I suppose, give a dollar value to currently 'externalised' costs. We have a very individualistic viewpoint on these things, and we need to take a wider look. Burning hydrocarbons has a cost, not to you directly, but to all of us. Cali wildfires are a case in point. 'Cheap gas' actually equals a massive environmental and human cost. At this point, it seems increasingly immoral to buy a new ICE-powered device when battery options are available.

More directly to Mandown's Q: A year~ish ago my old washing machine died and I replaced it with a new one; takes cold water in only and heats it with an internal heat pump. It is way cheaper (like half) to run even on electrical costs alone, let alone the unquantified savings that are happening in my hot water system. I expect in dollar costs along it will take a while to 'pay itself off' but it is also causing less damage to the environment, which I don't have a way to quantify atm. I was able to send my old one to be at least partially recycled. Also hard to quantify, but I expect has a very minor energy impact overall, but it does mean less landfill.

Also why I drive a Leaf, buy power from a renewables only company, etc...
 
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Jm_

sled dog's bollocks
Jan 14, 2002
20,151
10,699
AK
I'll listen to that tomorrow. I remember reading a national geo article that went into great depth about "biodegradable" plastics, recycling and the environment. It stated that pretty much all the scientists were on board in the 70s and 80s, only that the plastics didn't break down like predicted, they simply broke into smaller pieces of plastic, not harmless compounds or elements. These are now in all sorts of ecosystems, inside fish and other sea creatures that we eat.
 

Toshi

butthole powerwashing evangelist
Oct 23, 2001
39,751
8,750
It's important to identify and, I suppose, give a dollar value to currently 'externalised' costs.
Yup.

 

Changleen

Paranoid Member
Jan 9, 2004
14,729
2,712
Pōneke
You almost certainly have a bunch of micro plastic in everyone of your organs. There’s been a variety of studies that have found them basically everywhere they look.
 

mandown

Poopdeck Repost
Jun 1, 2004
21,808
9,119
Transylvania 90210

It's not all bad.
The U.N. report did contain bright spots. For instance, experts pointed to the efficacy of human-led conservation efforts, such as a program in Pakistan that protects snow leopards and a campaign to save the Japanese crested ibis from extinction,
 

Adventurous

Starshine Bro
Mar 19, 2014
10,850
9,888
Crawlorado
A bit ironic that the places that will be impacted the most are the places that seem to care the least. Id say you reap what you sow, but judging by the impact to agriculture, in 30 years they won't be familiar with that concept.
 

Adventurous

Starshine Bro
Mar 19, 2014
10,850
9,888
Crawlorado
My company has exceeded all expectations with WFH during this pandemic. I have to imagine a not so insignificant portion of the working population is in a similar position. The reduction in pollution with a fraction of the commuters would be immensely beneficial in cutting our greenhouse gas emissions.

Not that I expect they'll make this permanent. Too many antiquated attitudes about face time equaling productivity for that to happen.