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The People vs. Goldman Sachs

stoney

Part of the unwashed, middle-American horde
Jul 26, 2006
22,023
7,928
Colorado
What in the fvck?
People know when something is going wrong or too cheap and will start buying when things hit the fan. Computers just sre a sell off and keep selling. This is what happened during the flash crash last year.

Long Term Capital Management is a precursor to what happened in 2008. Go read "When Genius Fails"
 

Pesqueeb

bicycle in airplane hangar
Feb 2, 2007
42,361
19,886
Riding past the morgue.
People know when something is going wrong or too cheap and will start buying when things hit the fan. Computers just sre a sell off and keep selling. This is what happened during the flash crash yesterday.

Long Term Capital Management is a precursor to what happened in 2008. Go read "When Genius Fails"
FTFY

Or "All the Devils are Here" for an excellent example of a whole bunch of people depending solely on computer models.
 
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Pesqueeb

bicycle in airplane hangar
Feb 2, 2007
42,361
19,886
Riding past the morgue.
Bump for shenanigans

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/23/gretchen-morgenson-reckless-endangerment_n_864841.html

As disgusting as I find all of this, and as morally/ethically questionable as it is, I still have yet to read anything that convinces me an actual, technical crime occurred. Large scale avarice and hubris for sure, but neither are crimes. Maybe amongst individuals, either those lying on loan documents or lenders doctoring paper work, but large scale systemic crime? I’m not sure. To me the whole economic crisis is simply a reflection on how self serving and morally bankrupt society has become as a whole. Before 2007 these same bankers were role models, held up as heroic examples of American® capitalism. How anyone can read this stuff and still advocate for less regulation and control boggles my mind. :crazy:
 

sanjuro

Tube Smuggler
Sep 13, 2004
17,373
0
SF
People know when something is going wrong or too cheap and will start buying when things hit the fan. Computers just sre a sell off and keep selling. This is what happened during the flash crash last year.

Long Term Capital Management is a precursor to what happened in 2008. Go read "When Genius Fails"
I don't know a lot of about investing, but I know plenty about gambling, and not surprising, many traders are big gamblers.

You hear stories about massive betting during the Superbowl, like the yardage on the first return, injuries, any bet that someone is willing to take action on.

So with that in mind, do I think that mentality can carry over into investing?

Investors might use computers and perform research, but ultimately they are trying to predict profit & loss, no different than an oddsmaker figuring a game's betting line. And they are competing against each other as well, one trader sells, the other buys.

There are exceptions, of course, like Warren Buffett, but I believe when there is a lot of movement in the market, it is no different than a craps game.
 

stoney

Part of the unwashed, middle-American horde
Jul 26, 2006
22,023
7,928
Colorado
I don't know a lot of about investing, but I know plenty about gambling, and not surprising, many traders are big gamblers.

You hear stories about massive betting during the Superbowl, like the yardage on the first return, injuries, any bet that someone is willing to take action on.

So with that in mind, do I think that mentality can carry over into investing?

Investors might use computers and perform research, but ultimately they are trying to predict profit & loss, no different than an oddsmaker figuring a game's betting line. And they are competing against each other as well, one trader sells, the other buys.

There are exceptions, of course, like Warren Buffett, but I believe when there is a lot of movement in the market, it is no different than a craps game.
Traders /= Investors. Traders facilitate, very few take on their own positions. Portfolio Managers take on positions.

You need to look at the investment horizon to determine if a person is a flipper (what most call traders) or an investor. WB invests for the longterm, multiple years out based on fundamental value of a business. Read Security Analysis and The Intelligent Investor. Those books are about fundamental and value investing.