70% solution might be a bit weak. Bump it up a bit, push that flash point.
We all gon die. The pandemic thread.
- Thread starter kidwoo
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They don't go by his actions, or lack there of, they go by what he tells them. If Herr Twitler says he's doing a terrific job then that's exactly what his supporters will believe. Facts don't mater, only how he makes them feel.
His approval rating is apparently as high as it has ever been. 
Of course it is people are legit scared......and legitimately still have no idea what's really going on.His approval rating is apparently as high as it has ever been.
Like westy keeps insisting with every one of his posts the last few days: we truly are a nation of fucking morons.
I'm having a difficult time finding a flaw in your reasoning...
I work in data for a living.
We're realistically looking at probably somewhere around a 15-20% infection total around the country with only a fraction of a percentage represented in positive tests. It's a result of highly restricted availability of testing. That's a fucking horror show in the making that we're going to start seeing unfold in the next week or two.
It is what it is.
And right now we have the majority of the country walking around feeling healthy thinking "those numbers are pretty low and I see trump talking about being busy once a day" and that's literally all they know. Most of these data reporting sites have to explain what a derivative or log scale is. God forbid inflection points what an exponential growth really is.
We're realistically looking at probably somewhere around a 15-20% infection total around the country with only a fraction of a percentage represented in positive tests. It's a result of highly restricted availability of testing. That's a fucking horror show in the making that we're going to start seeing unfold in the next week or two.
It is what it is.
And right now we have the majority of the country walking around feeling healthy thinking "those numbers are pretty low and I see trump talking about being busy once a day" and that's literally all they know. Most of these data reporting sites have to explain what a derivative or log scale is. God forbid inflection points what an exponential growth really is.
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Literally the only country getting exponentially worse after 500 deaths.
Italy locked down at 800 and we just hit 1000.......and we're talking about reducing restrictions nationally.
We're very much on track to be number one. Or america first as you could say.
Italy locked down at 800 and we just hit 1000.......and we're talking about reducing restrictions nationally.
We're very much on track to be number one. Or america first as you could say.
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Literally the only country getting exponentially worse after 500 deaths.
Italy locked down at 800 and we just hit 1000.......and we're talking about reducing restrictions nationally.
We're very much on track to be number one. Or america first as you could say.
You know what is funny. Our president claims to be a business genius. Ya know what this shit looks exactly like right now. Basic compounded interested and the fucking genius doesn't get it.
I meant funny like 'haha we are properly fuckered'
wise beyond their years.Goddam Communists.
I have zero hopes that you could explain a muted inflection point in terms of amortization with him........because the motherfucker never paid up and just kept declaring bankruptcy.
We're talking king of default here.
We're talking king of default here.
i think today might have been the first or second time my dad has sat through anything trump has had to say.....
"doesn't he ever shut the fuck up" were his exact words.
Notice anything different about the US trajectory?
Can't quite put my finger on it.
A week ago when people were talking about us being on a similar trajectory as italy............well we're americans, watch this.
Can't quite put my finger on it.
A week ago when people were talking about us being on a similar trajectory as italy............well we're americans, watch this.
I will say, for the first couple of years of mango's reign most of us used to wake up wondering what he was going to do to kill us all today.
At least we have a leading contender right now.
At least we have a leading contender right now.
Yikes.....Notice anything different about the US trajectory?
Can't quite put my finger on it.
A week ago when people were talking about us being on a similar trajectory as italy............well we're americans, watch this.
Those charts would be interesting to see in per-capita numbers.
A lot of folks are focusing on percentage of population numbers which I guess is the first tendency. Mentioning higher mortality rates for H1N1, ebola etc. But it's the final death number that's really going to matter. We didn't cage 9/11 in terms of percentage of the american population killed (although I'd love to hear someone do this to orange foolius next time he brings up the flu). It's the spread of this thing that's going to make it as bad or worse than some of the other viral pandemics, high contagion/low death rate still equals a shit ton of people. And unlike flu, this will be in a period of 3-4 months, not a full calendar year.
Westy's got a spreadsheet already started, maybe he can throw some population numbers in there. Everything I want to know someone else is doing somewhere.
Californians are patting themselves on the back right now for a high number of tests but we still haven't tested for shit in terms of portion of the population.
How many people each state has tested for coronavirus so far
There’s good news and bad news in the United States’ efforts to test the public for...
These idiots dismiss everything that contradicts Heir Twitler as fake news or as part of a conspiracy. These are the idiots that are going to take us all down, and when we are at the bottom they will blame someone else.
mavenroundtable.io
Trump Supporters Turn On Dr. Fauci, Claiming He’s A Member Of The Deep State
The Gateway Pundit, a member of the far-right media, called Dr. Anthony Fauci a "Hillary Clinton fanboy."
mavenroundtable.io
NZ's at 287 confirmed and suspected case's with no fatalities as yet.
US will pass italy and china later today or tomorrow in confirmed cases.
America first!
America first!
All I have done is track Seattle and Nationwide numbers, really the same you see evewhere else, I just best fit exponential formulas to it to project future numbers, and to see when exponential growth breaks. I just like fucking around with numbers I don't actually know anything.A lot of folks are focusing on percentage of population numbers which I guess is the first tendency. Mentioning higher mortality rates for H1N1, ebola etc. But it's the final death number that's really going to matter. We didn't cage 9/11 in terms of percentage of the american population killed (although I'd love to hear someone do this to orange foolius next time he brings up the flu). It's the spread of this thing that's going to make it as bad or worse than some of the other viral pandemics, high contagion/low death rate still equals a shit ton of people. And unlike flu, this will be in a period of 3-4 months, not a full calendar year.
Westy's got a spreadsheet already started, maybe he can throw some population numbers in there. Everything I want to know someone else is doing somewhere.
Californians are patting themselves on the back right now for a high number of tests but we still haven't tested for shit in terms of portion of the population.
How many people each state has tested for coronavirus so far
There’s good news and bad news in the United States’ efforts to test the public for...www.sfgate.com
Right but you've already got half of what sti was asking in terms of percentage population. If you can pull an easy csv file somewhere with state/city populations you could generate his per capita stuff.
It is kind of weird I haven't seen anyone do this yet.
It is kind of weird I haven't seen anyone do this yet.
And the US is now #1
Congratulations?
Congratulations?
Thanks!
We were on track with Japan but we decided we should be the only nation with a convex curve/accelerating death rate. Because murkan exceptionalism.
Look at all those flacid limp dicked countries. What we got is a good old fashioned boner, and it's gonna be the biggest hardest boner the world has ever seen.
Good odds given your leadership.WE ALL GON' DIE!!
Trump team failed to follow NSC’s pandemic playbook
The 69-page document, finished in 2016, provided a step by step list of priorities – which were then ignored by the administration.
www.politico.com
Thought the same but on further investigation I think the data is flawed. Look at Japan and South Korea.
Who's closer to rush limbaugh's favorite sex worker vacation industry?Thought the same but on further investigation I think the data is flawed. Look at Japan and South Korea.
Italy?
Don't think so.
That reminds me......speaking of timing!
Rush Limbaugh's Advanced Lung Cancer
Conservative talk show host announces diagnosis
www.medpagetoday.com
He'd better steer clear of this hoax. No way he'd survive this fake disease.Who's closer to rush limbaugh's favorite sex worker vacation industry?
Italy?
Don't think so.
That reminds me......speaking of timing!
Rush Limbaugh's Advanced Lung Cancer
Conservative talk show host announces diagnosis
Speaking of population normalized data.......
91-divoc.com
You can change the dataset from cases to deaths.
An interactive visualization of COVID-19 | 91-DIVOC
An interactive, data-forward visualization of COVID-19 data by Prof. Wade at The University of Illinois. Updated daily.
91-divoc.com
You can change the dataset from cases to deaths.
I went ahead and did my own extrapolation from the current trend in death numbers using US data since the 10th death reported.
By jesus risin' easter (day 40), we're on track for about 100,000 total deaths on the day. I suspect this might taper a bit because given the 3-4 week time from infection to mortality this still largely is a snapshot of pre-lockdown steps. The scary part is there's coverage now of areas that are not testing dead 'pneumonia' cases. But as I mentioned, this line is actually steepening so the trendline is biased a little by slow startup rate.
All the idiots screaming 'buht flooo!' need to understand this is in 40 days total (17 days from this post), not a year.
By jesus risin' easter (day 40), we're on track for about 100,000 total deaths on the day. I suspect this might taper a bit because given the 3-4 week time from infection to mortality this still largely is a snapshot of pre-lockdown steps. The scary part is there's coverage now of areas that are not testing dead 'pneumonia' cases. But as I mentioned, this line is actually steepening so the trendline is biased a little by slow startup rate.
All the idiots screaming 'buht flooo!' need to understand this is in 40 days total (17 days from this post), not a year.
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I have a daily new % trend starting 22 days ago. Trend line is rising, .01x+.133. last few days seem to have stabilized a bit but today's numbers look ugly so far. Basically the Exponential rate is increasing, or for those unfamiliar with this stuff, we have a bank account of dead people the bank was offering an interest rate of 13% and has been increasing it 1% each day.
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I think this will probably ebb and flow as other urban centers start to blow up. Right now this is heavily driven by NYC which I doubt will get duplicated because there just isn't the public infrastructure in other places putting people on top of each other like subways. But I think multiple cities will be undergoing surges concurrently so who knows.
Plus we're all seeing people doing dumb shit in crowds no matter where we live I think.
Hopefully more toilet lickin' influencers rise to the occasion.
edit: I just used the numbers from the last week.....eesh, about double the easter massacre
Plus we're all seeing people doing dumb shit in crowds no matter where we live I think.
Hopefully more toilet lickin' influencers rise to the occasion.
edit: I just used the numbers from the last week.....eesh, about double the easter massacre
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I tend to think this is the case.
Michigan, Florida, Mass, Illinois and Missouri seem to be next.
Holy fuck
almost doubled the change in deaths today compared to yesterday and we're not even done yet
americans want to get back to work though so we should be fine
almost doubled the change in deaths today compared to yesterday and we're not even done yet
americans want to get back to work though so we should be fine
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Army of the dead seem to be growing at an average daily rate of 32% for the past dozen or so days.