Quantcast

NK tests newklar weapon

Changleen

Paranoid Member
Jan 9, 2004
14,356
2,467
Pōneke
You are just playing the opposite game. If the US was demanding bilaterial talks and the North Koreans were saying it must be 6 way, you know what you would be saying.....

Sad but true.
Hopefully, as I said above, I'd say I'd rather they were just talking...
 

Changleen

Paranoid Member
Jan 9, 2004
14,356
2,467
Pōneke
This has good logic too, bu I'm not sure I agree yet.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,1892453,00.html

Accept North Korea into the nuclear club or bomb it now

Economic sanctions are a coward's response that would only punish the people while propping up Kim Jong-il's dictatorship

Simon Jenkins
Wednesday October 11, 2006
The Guardian

So what now? North Korea is the fourth, possibly fifth, state to have rejected the 1970 non-proliferation treaty and proceeded towards a nuclear arsenal. The others are India, Pakistan, Israel and perhaps Iran. That makes five states in the old nuclear club (America, Russia, Britain, France and China) and five in the new one. The appropriate relationship, diplomatic, military and moral, between the two clubs is now a consuming world obsession.

There is no easy answer. If strategically secure countries such as Britain and France want nuclear missiles as an ultimate line of defence, why not Iran and North Korea? Pakistan is an unstable dictatorship that has sold nuclear technology and harbours terrorists. Yet it is embraced by the west. So is India, which is about to enjoy American nuclear cooperation. Given a nuclear Israel, not just Iran but conceivably Turkey and Egypt are pondering a bomb. Japan may similarly react to the North Korean test. Where is the moral compass to guide us through this?

There is none. There is only opportunism. The big five have had nuclear weapons for half a century and refuse to give them up, dishonouring the 1970 treaty's second pillar on disarmament. Of the other nuclear and quasi-nuclear powers, Israel, India and Pakistan are regarded as vaguely reliable, Iran a headache and North Korea a nightmare. The treaty was always hypocritical, policed by those states whose security it confirmed. It has been a vehicle of superpower convenience.

A nuclear bomb is a bizarre weapon, so awful as to have been used in only two attacks, in 1945. Since then, its owners have thankfully rendered it irrelevant by disuse, but in doing so have deprived it of deterrent effect. Britain's bomb did not deter Argentina from invading the Falklands, nor was America's massive arsenal a deterrent in Vietnam, Lebanon, Somalia or Iraq. Possessing such bombs is largely a matter of status.

The operative word is largely. When nuclear missiles were brandished by the Soviet Union, the west lived in an under standable state of terror. That Russia and China have abandoned their goal of communist imperialism is an immense relief. Inducing that abandonment was the objective of the cold war policy of "containment and engagement", and it worked. The thesis of Tony Blair and John Reid that Britain is currently more at risk than since Hitler is ludicrous (and a poor comment on MI6 briefing).

For all the science fiction hokum surrounding "suitcase bombs" and "terrorist WMDs", building and delivering a nuclear bomb is a massive industrial and military exercise requiring the concerted energy of a nation-state. So-called dirty bombs, or biological and chemical weapons, should never be put in the same category. They are nothing like as dangerous and have proved ineffective. What is more alarming is that North Korea appears to possess both the wherewithal to build a working bomb and the long-range missiles to deliver it. Kim Jong-il is acquiring effective nuclear capability.

At this point the argument moves from capability to intent. The west has not moved against India or Pakistan because it does not see them as threats. Iran's ruling elite is devious but not mad. President Ahmedinejad's cat-and-mouse game with United Nations inspectors is about national pride and self-promotion, not a craving for war. True, his regime has preached the destruction of Israel and has armed insurgents across the Middle East, but nuclear blackmail has no plausible part in this strategy, which is chauvinistic bombast. Iran is a big, pluralist country, a classic case for containment and engagement, not ostracism and war. For it to own a bomb would be deplorable, but no more or less dangerous than Pakistan having one.

North Korea is a different matter. It is reasonable to ask why Britain and America went to war against "weapons of mass destruction" in the wrong country - Iraq - in 2003. It is also reasonable to wonder whether the present crisis might have been avoided had George Bush not wrecked President Clinton's mild engagement policy towards North Korea and opted instead for belligerence and rhetoric. But that is history.

There is no knowing what Kim might now do. If preventing him from acquiring a bomb was a legitimate goal of UN policy, so must be removing it in advance of deployment under chapter seven of the UN charter. Asking, demanding, bribing and threatening have all failed. The whole UN security council is appalled by Kim's disregard for world opinion. China may increase the diplomatic screw but there is no way of stopping a determined state, even one as destitute as North Korea, from doing what it wants if it can.

The stupidest policy would be one of economic sanctions. This never works, impoverishing peoples while rendering their rulers ever more embattled and paranoid. Nothing in history so props up dictatorship as economic siege. Ask Castro, Gadafy, Saddam and the ayatollahs. The North Koreans are poor beyond the power of economic squeeze. The proposal that China devastates the country by cutting its power would merely generate starvation and mass migration. Sanctions are cowards' wars, cruel and counterproductive. In this case they are anyway too late.

It is tempting to conclude that the world must just get used to a new generation of nuclear states. The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Mohamed ElBaradei, estimates that some 40 countries are on the brink of being able to make nuclear bombs. As we live with 10, perhaps we must live with 40, struggling to reduce tension, minimise risk and help guard against accidents. A nuclear accident would not be the end of the world, certainly not in the sense that an east-west nuclear exchange would have been during the cold war. We handled that threat. Perhaps learning to live with nuclear power, in all its forms, will be the great challenge of the 21st century.

If this relaxed view is not viable in North Korea's case (as opposed to Iran's), there is only one sensible alternative. It is not to drag out a conflict through economic sanctions to eventual war, but to curb North Korea's ambition in the simplest possible way. Sophisticated air power, useless in counter-insurgency, has a role in the "coercive diplomacy" of non-proliferation. Israel used it effectively against Iraq's nuclear plant in 1981 and the US repeated the exercise with Operation Desert Fox in 1998 (though Bush and Blair later refused to believe it had worked). If Kim is the unstable menace he appears, his bomb-making capacity and missile sites should be removed at once with Tomahawk missiles. Fewer people would die that way than with any other pre-emptive response.

simon.jenkins@guardian.co.uk
 

blue

boob hater
Jan 24, 2004
10,160
2
california
This has good logic too, bu I'm not sure I agree yet.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,1892453,00.html
I think I do.

A limited air war against North Korea by a coalition of states to effectively disarm any nuclear capabilities it has. Ideally, said coalition includes the Chinese, making Kim look like an ass to the people he brutalizes, possibly starting a chain reaction of internal; to borrow a doubletalk slogan from the Bush dynasty, "regime change".

Hopefully, such a limited scale air offensive would greatly reduce the number of refugees that would flee to China. However, one cannot be sure, and I think that's the one hurdle to Chinese cooperation.
 

DaveW

Space Monkey
Jul 2, 2001
11,233
2,765
The bunker at parliament
Thank you Bill Clinton for selling nuke technology to the NK's.
Ahh Donald Rumsfeild was the guy you should thank for that one buddy. ;o)

He was on the board of directors of ABB when they sold the reactors to NK. :clue:
And was described by one of the other directors as "Strongly interested and involved in the Nuclear division of the company"
Also when he testified in front of a Senate enquiry into NK's nukes , he failed to disclose this fact to the Senate. :brow:
 

Kevin

Turbo Monkey
Just read this on a Dutch site so Ill try and translate the most important parts...

North Koreans can't enter Japan

October 11. 2006 18:43

TOKIO - Japan is going to punish Nort Korea for testing a nuclear device. The Japanese goverment has stated that they don't want to wait on the resolution of the U.N. against North Korea's communist regime.

They have cut off the import of North Korean products and Japan has closed it's harbors for North Korean ships. North Koreans can no longer enter the country.

Cooperation

Bush has said that the U.S. wants to coorporate with allies in the region but he also said it is not his intention to undertake millitary action against North Korea and that he rather work on an diplomatic solution to solve this conflict.

According to Bush the U.N is working on sanctions to further punish North Korea for its actions and he also thanked China and Russia for their disaproval on the test and the fact that they no longer stand in the way of putting up heavier sanctions against North Korea.

Kofi Annan has said that actions are nececary but they have to be effective and diplomatic rather then military because he does not want the situation to escalate.

Pyongyang has said that any sanctions will be looked upon as a declaration of war and that they will only stop their nuclear program and go on with the negotiations if Washington pulls back the economic sanctions against North Korea.
 

DRB

unemployed bum
Oct 24, 2002
15,242
0
Watchin' you. Writing it all down.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15232009/

A North Korean official threatened “strong countermeasures” against Japan for new sanctions against the communist regime, Kyodo News agency reported from Pyongyang on Thursday.

The Japanese government decided on a package of additional economic sanctions against North Korea on Wednesday in response to the regime’s claim of a nuclear test, including a ban on all imports from the country and the docking of North Korean ships in Japanese ports.

The sanctions are expected to go into effect after they are approved by Japan’s Cabinet Friday.
“We will take strong countermeasures,” Kyodo quoted Song Il Ho, North Korea’s ambassador in charge of diplomatic normalization talks with Japan, as saying in an interview on Wednesday when asked about fresh sanctions by Japan.

“The specific contents will become clear if you keep watching. We never speak empty words,” he added.

Song said that Pyongyang considered Japan’s measures as “more serious in nature” than other nations’ because Tokyo has yet to adequately atone for its 1910-1945 colonization of the Korean Peninsula.

“We will be taking countermeasures by calculating that in,” Song said.
A total ban on imports and ships could be disastrous for North Korea, whose produce such as clams and mushrooms earns precious foreign currency on the Japanese market.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,502
20,300
Sleazattle
Unlike what most polititians will lead you to beleive this is not a black and white world. Over appeasing will make someone think you are weak but being to aggressive and scaring the bajesus out of someone makes them desperate and dangerous. It is kind of like walking up to a stray pitbull, look scared and lack confidence it will leg hump you like a bitch. Start taking swings at it and it will try to rip your nuts off.
 

DaveW

Space Monkey
Jul 2, 2001
11,233
2,765
The bunker at parliament
this is what appeasement gets you:
http://www.youtube.com/v/7h3GPc_yMCE
What a great steaming load of sh*te!

Nice mix of half truths there matey...... The NK missles tests came after Bush changed from Clinton's method and started playing the berligerant retoric spouting bully boy. :bonk:
Taliban/Al Qaeda.... Started under Regan and turned against the US under the 1st Bushes rule (gulf war).
 

$tinkle

Expert on blowing
Feb 12, 2003
14,591
6
What a great steaming load of sh*te!

Nice mix of half truths there matey...... The NK missles tests came after Bush changed from Clinton's method and started playing the berligerant retoric spouting bully boy. :bonk:
it's a highly sardonic version of past events with no use but to entertain (and apparently 'tis also good troll fodder for the likes of you).

but you mentioned NK missile tests. they've been testing missiles for many years now. were you asleep during the 90's?
 

DaveW

Space Monkey
Jul 2, 2001
11,233
2,765
The bunker at parliament
No, it looks more like the standard Republican tactic of using bullsh*t as a reason to promote war.
"Don't have a reason to go to war?..... Take things out of context or actual timeline and make it up/fake it".

And the trolling bit is nothing more than a fall back postion for someone who's been caught out I recon. :p
 

valve bouncer

Master Dildoist
Feb 11, 2002
7,843
114
Japan
Japanese are poohing their knickers about this. Probably selling the soiled knickers from vending machines too but that's another thread.
Transalted article from a Japanese weekly.

Nothing, but nothing, writes Shukan Shincho (Oct 19), worries Japanese more than the idea of a North Korean missile falling on their country.

From the circumstances surrounding its abductions of Japanese, it is clear that North Korean leader Kim Jong Il gives no thought whatsoever to the life or happiness of innocent people. And now, this international outlaw has the power to obliterate a foreign city at the push of a single button.

"The previous July, the North Koreans tested three types of missiles,"remarks military affairs analyst Motoaki Kamiura. "The Scud would be used against South Korea; the Nodong against Japan; and the Daepodong 2 against the U.S. The Daepodong 2 launch was a failure, but the tests of the Scud and Nodong were successful.

"Missiles must clear three criteria: range, payload and accuracy," Kamiura continues "The Nodong can carry a payload of 1 ton up to 1,300 kilometers. The only remaining question is accuracy. Even if it's off by a small degree, if it were aimed at a city the size of Tokyo, it's certain that major casualties would result. Of course any such move would mean a counterattack by the U.S. military that would cause the collapse of North Korea's system, so I don't anticipate such a scenario. But it's not completely impossible."

"North Korea is the kind of country that sees possession of nuclear weapons as being a source of pride, without giving any thought to the downside of increasing its own isolation," Mitsuhiro Sera, a military affairs journalist, tells Shukan Shincho.

Sera's scenario of a nuclear-armed missile hitting Tokyo is grim indeed:"I'd foresee a maximum of 1.3 million fatalities," he says. "According to one simulation, about 100,000 would be killed instantly, and another 300,000 would expire of secondary injuries within 30 days. But depending on the time of day and wind direction, fatalities could go as high as 1.3 million. Since Tokyo is so densely populated, several million more would suffer after effects."

In March 2004, North Korean party secretary Chae Tae-bok was quoted as saying his country would never use unclear weapons against South Korea "since they are our own brothers," notes Sera. "As development of a Daepodong 2 that can reach the U.S. hasn't been completed, Japan, which the North sees as a pawn of the U.S., could be singled out for attack. Efforts to reduce the weight of the warhead to under 1 ton will probably take from six months to a year, and then preparations to attack Japan would be complete."

That, the magazine says, gives Japan a year to work out a solution.

In a separate but equally worrisome article in the same issue of Shukan Shincho, meanwhile, a source in the Chinese Red Cross revealed that in early August, his organization received a request from its North Korean counterpart for 15,000 body bags. China was unable to respond immediately due to an urgent need for bags following the destructive earthquake in Java, Indonesia. By now, the magazine speculates, the order has been filled.


October 13, 2006
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,502
20,300
Sleazattle
if it were aimed at a city the size of Tokyo, it's certain that major casualties would result. Of course any such move would mean a counterattack by the U.S. military
So if North Korea Nuked Tokyo the Japanese would sit there and let the US retaliate. Not that we wouldn't be tripping over ourselves to unleash a salvo or two into NK. I'm guessing the South Koreans would probably go into attack mode if that happened.
 

ALEXIS_DH

Tirelessly Awesome
Jan 30, 2003
6,147
796
Lima, Peru, Peru
raise your hand if you have ethical issues on dropping t3h nukage on their civilians, if they drop t3h nukage on your civilians first.

(not me actually, just wondering who would).
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,502
20,300
Sleazattle
raise your hand if you have ethical issues on dropping t3h nukage on their civilians, if they drop t3h nukage on your civilians first.

(not me actually, just wondering who would).
It depends who did it. With North Korea the country is small and weak, we could probably quickly destroy their military capability quickly with conventional means. So basically I would support it only if it was the only viable way to prevent them from launching more nukage.
 

DRB

unemployed bum
Oct 24, 2002
15,242
0
Watchin' you. Writing it all down.
So if North Korea Nuked Tokyo the Japanese would sit there and let the US retaliate. Not that we wouldn't be tripping over ourselves to unleash a salvo or two into NK. I'm guessing the South Koreans would probably go into attack mode if that happened.
The Japanese really don't have the capability to launch an offensive strike even in retaliation. Hence the noise Abe has been making to change the Japanese Constitution to allow the military to develop offensive capabilities.
 

valve bouncer

Master Dildoist
Feb 11, 2002
7,843
114
Japan
What is everyday Mr. and Mrs. Japanese saying about it? Not selling poo'd knickers but North Korea.
I try to avoid talking about these kind of things with Japanese people because they always adopt this hurt puppy kind of expression because they can't for the life of them work out why the rest of Asia hates them. The persecution complex gives me the sh*ts. That said I don't think people where I live are too worried, we're unlikely to be a target here unless Kim's secret plan is to rid the world of elderly rice farmers.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,502
20,300
Sleazattle
I try to avoid talking about these kind of things with Japanese people because they always adopt this hurt puppy kind of expression because they can't for the life of them work out why the rest of Asia hates them. The persecution complex gives me the sh*ts. That said I don't think people where I live are too worried, we're unlikely to be a target here unless Kim's secret plan is to rid the world of elderly rice farmers.

Does the average Japanese dude know what they did to the rest of Asia back in the day? I've heard they have adopted a bit of "if we don't talk about it" it didn't happen attitude.
 

valve bouncer

Master Dildoist
Feb 11, 2002
7,843
114
Japan
Does the average Japanese dude know what they did to the rest of Asia back in the day? I've heard they have adopted a bit of "if we don't talk about it" it didn't happen attitude.
A lot of young people don't really have a clue and some will even express surprise there was a war and ask what side Japan was on. Others will know that Japan fought America but will express amazement that Australia was involved too. A lot of older people see themselves as victims as all they knew of the war was the hardships it caused. Others are of the view that Japan liberated Asia from European control and see know real reason why Japan needs to apologise for anything. There's also a lot of people who are genuinely sorry for what happened. All sorts really.
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,502
20,300
Sleazattle
A lot of young people don't really have a clue and some will even express surprise there was a war and ask what side Japan was on. Others will know that Japan fought America but will express amazement that Australia was involved too. A lot of older people see themselves as victims as all they knew of the war was the hardships it caused. Others are of the view that Japan liberated Asia from European control and see know real reason why Japan needs to apologise for anything. There's also a lot of people who are genuinely sorry for what happened. All sorts really.
I work for a Japanese company and at a trade show they had a demo part displayed that was basically a shwastika. It took forever to explain to them why it was a bad thing to display. I think the only thing that finally convinced them I related it to the bad guys in the Indiana Jones movies.
 

valve bouncer

Master Dildoist
Feb 11, 2002
7,843
114
Japan
I work for a Japanese company and at a trade show they had a demo part displayed that was basically a shwastika. It took forever to explain to them why it was a bad thing to display. I think the only thing that finally convinced them I related it to the bad guys in the Indiana Jones movies.
Yeah there's a symbol used here that is used at temples that looks like a swastika with a few differences
Reak swastika

Japanese swastika
 

Westy

the teste
Nov 22, 2002
54,502
20,300
Sleazattle
Yeah there's a symbol used here that is used at temples that looks like a swastika with a few differences
Reak swastika

Japanese swastika
That is basically a reverse shwastika, they had the real nazi party symbol going on, or maybe the part was set upside down.
 

DRB

unemployed bum
Oct 24, 2002
15,242
0
Watchin' you. Writing it all down.
I can't link it but there is an undercover video in North Korea by Lisa Ling. Its going to be on national geographic explorer at some point before the year end I found it interesting that people only have pictures of the great leader and the dear leader in their homes. Or I wonder if that part was a setup as well.

Its kinda cool and pretty freakin' gutsy.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15249383/
Plus they aren't detecting any radioactive evidence so far from the test from the first studied sample.